🇫🇷

Ligue 1

Lorient - Troyes

08/29/2026, 06:45 PM

1 : 2
预期进球
Lorient
1.5
Total xG
2.8
Troyes
1.3
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:1

9%

1:2

8%

2:0

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
LORTRO

Lorient

最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.18
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
-0.12
防守实力 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均1.6球)
+0.01
Bamba Dieng未进大名单 (10球, 2助攻)
Bamo Meïté未进大名单 (0球, 3助攻)
Karim Dermane未进大名单 (1球, 2助攻)
41%进球产出缺失 (仅64%可用)

Troyes

小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
+0.23

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.8球)
+0.32
+0.32
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

40%

平局

28%

客胜

31%

进球数

Over 1.5

79%

Under 1.5

21%

Over 2.5

53%

Under 2.5

47%

Over 3.5

31%

Under 3.5

69%

双重机会

主胜或平局

69%

客胜或平局

60%

非平局

72%

双方进球

是

58%

否

42%

关键因素
  • Home turf advantage: Lorient is strong on artificial turf with 5 wins out of 10 matches
  • Tactical setup: Lorient recently averaged a counter-oriented style with 3.0 shots on target per match
  • Troyes defensive approach: The visitors recorded just 2.0 shots on target with 41% possession in their last match
风险因素
  • Bamba Dieng, Bamo Meïté, and Karim Dermane are missing, only 65% of the goal threat is available
  • Lorient's goal production is stalling, averaging 1.0 goals recently compared to their season average of 1.4
  • Limited dataset for away statistics of Troyes
概述

Lorient (10th place, 1 point) host Troyes (13th place, 1 point) at Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir

Ligue 1 match on August 29, 2026, 8:45 PM

Both teams started the new campaign with a draw

近期状态

Lorient shows a form string of DWLDD

The home side recently secured an away draw against Nice

Troyes has a form string of D after the opening matchday

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Lorient scored an average of 1.41 goals per game last season

The hosts conceded an average of 1.5 goals per match

Lorient recorded 7 clean sheets in 34 matches

Troyes secured a clean sheet in their opening league fixture

历史交锋

There are no historical head-to-head matches available in the provided dataset

关键球员

Jean-Victor Makengo leads the midfield with 4 goals and 2 assists, averaging a 6.94 rating

Arsène Kouassi provides defensive stability, contributing 2 goals and 7 assists

Noah Doriann Cadiou shows a rising form trend with an average rating of 6.81

门将

Yvon Mvogo guards Lorient's goal with an average season rating of 6.83

The goalkeeper contributed to 7 clean sheets last season

Patrick Beach plays in goal for Troyes and kept a clean sheet in his last match

影响因素

The match is played on artificial turf at Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir

Lorient holds a record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses on this surface

The stadium venue averages 2.8 goals per game historically

准备开始了吗？

创建账户，探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。