Ligue 1
Brest - Toulouse
08/29/2026, 06:45 PM
预期进球
1.2
2.3
1.1
1:1
15%0:0
11%1:0
10%0:1
9%2:1
8%xG 分解
Brest
Toulouse
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
38%
平局
31%
客胜
30%
进球数
Over 1.5
69%
Under 1.5
31%
Over 2.5
41%
Under 2.5
59%
Over 3.5
21%
Under 3.5
79%
双重机会
主胜或平局
70%
客胜或平局
62%
非平局
69%
双方进球
是
49%
否
51%
关键因素
- Toulouse heavily weakened: Only 54% of their goals share is active, with Santiago Hidalgo, Aron Dønnum, Djibril Sidibé, and Pape Demba Diop missing
- Toulouse's goal production is stalling, averaging 1.2 goals recently compared to their season average of 1.4
- The mathematical prediction favors Brest with a 38% probability of a home win
风险因素
- Brest averaged only 3.2 shots on target in recent matches
- Toulouse averaged only 3.0 shots on target in recent matches
- Brest will be without the unselected Junior Dina Ebimbe, Brendan Chardonnet, and Hugo Magnetti
概述
Brest (7th place, 1 point) host Toulouse (16th place, 0 points) at the Stade Francis-Le Ble
Ligue 1 match on August 29, 2026, 8:45 PM
Brest look for their first win of the season while Toulouse need to bounce back after an opening loss
近期状态
Brest form: WLLLD
Most recently they secured a 2-2 draw against Le Mans
Toulouse travel with a form of LWWLL and lost their last match 0-2 against Olympique Lyonnais
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
统计数据
Brest scored an average of 1.26 goals per game and conceded 1.62 last season
Toulouse averaged 1.42 goals scored and 1.39 goals conceded per match
Brest secured 7 of their total 9 clean sheets at home
历史交锋
Balanced record with 2 wins each in 4 head-to-head matches
The last encounter ended in a 2-0 away win for Toulouse on January 25, 2026
The goal difference in these meetings is tied at 6-6
关键球员
For the hosts, Ludovic Ajorque (8 goals, 9 assists), Romain Del Castillo (9 goals, 3 assists), and Kamory Doumbia (5 goals, 4 assists) are key
The visitors rely on Yann Gboho (8 goals, 5 assists), Cristian Cásseres Jr. (2 goals, 3 assists), and Alexis Vossah (1 goal, 1 assist)
门将
Egil Selvik starts in goal for Brest
Toulouse field Guillaume Restes, who made 33 appearances last season
Brest secured 9 clean sheets last season, while Toulouse also recorded 9 clean sheets
影响因素
Brest hold a clear home advantage, scoring 28 goals at home compared to just 15 away goals last season
Matches at Stade Francis-Le Ble have averaged 4.0 goals per game over the last 5 fixtures
The playing surface is natural grass