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Ligue 1

Auxerre - Angers SCO

08/29/2026, 06:45 PM

1 : 3
预期进球
Auxerre
1.2
Total xG
2.1
Angers SCO
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

14%

1:0

12%

0:1

10%

2:0

8%
xG 分解
AUXAS

Auxerre

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.69倍)
-0.55
状态上升 (1.5 vs 1 赛季平均)
+0.15
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
+0.06
Lassine Sinayoko未进大名单 (12球, 4助攻)
Bryan Okoh未进大名单 (3球, 0助攻)
Gideon Mensah未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)
57%进球产出缺失 (仅59%可用)
主场表现强势 (场均1.3球 vs 总体1球)

Angers SCO

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.75倍)
-0.43
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.4球)
-0.15
状态下滑 (0.5 vs 0.9 赛季平均)
-0.12
Lilian Raolisoa替补席 (2球, 4助攻)
18%进球产出缺失 (仅86%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.8球)
+0.32
+0.32
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

39%

平局

33%

客胜

29%

进球数

Over 1.5

65%

Under 1.5

35%

Over 2.5

36%

Under 2.5

64%

Over 3.5

17%

Under 3.5

83%

双重机会

主胜或平局

71%

客胜或平局

62%

非平局

67%

双方进球

是

44%

否

56%

关键因素
  • Home advantage for Auxerre against a traveling side that conceded 2.15 goals per away game last season
  • Attacking trends show Auxerre averaging 1.5 goals recently compared to their season average of 1.0, while Angers SCO is stalled at 0.5
  • The most recent meeting at Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps in May 2026 ended in a clear 3:1 home win for Auxerre
风险因素
  • Lassine Sinayoko, Bryan Okoh, and Gideon Mensah are missing for Auxerre, leaving only 59% of the usual attacking threat available
  • Low offensive output for the visitors, who recently averaged only 2.6 shots on target per match
概述

Auxerre host Angers SCO at the Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps

Ligue 1 match on August 29, 2026, 8:45 PM

Both teams started the season with a loss and occupy positions 17 and 15

An important early-season clash in the lower half of the table

近期状态

Auxerre show form DLWDL with a loss in their last match against Lens

The hosts recorded one win and two draws in their last five matches

Angers SCO show form WLLDL and recently lost to LOSC Lille

Both sides are looking for stability early in the campaign

统计数据

Auxerre averaged 1 goal scored and 1.29 goals conceded per match last season

Angers SCO averaged 0.85 goals scored and 1.41 goals conceded per match

Auxerre kept seven clean sheets in 18 home matches

Angers SCO struggled away, conceding an average of 2.15 goals per game

历史交锋

Balanced head-to-head record with two wins each in four encounters

Goal difference of 4:5 in favor of Angers SCO

The last meeting on May 3, 2026, ended in a 3:1 victory for Auxerre

关键球员

Danny Namaso recorded 3 goals and 3 assists last season

Kévin Danois contributed 3 goals and one assist with a strong 7.08 rating

Amine Sbaï leads the visitors with 3 goals this season

Not selected for Angers SCO: Lilian Raolisoa

门将

Mamadou Diop starts in goal for Auxerre

Anthony Lopes is in goal for Angers SCO

Auxerre kept 9 clean sheets last season compared to 10 for Angers SCO

影响因素

Auxerre kept most of their clean sheets at Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps last season

Home statistics of 1 goal scored per game support a slight advantage

Mathematical models favor Auxerre with a 39% win probability

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