Premier League
Brentford - Brighton & Hove Albion
02/21/2026, 03:00 PM
预期进球
1.5
2.6
1.1
1:1
14%2:1
9%2:0
8%1:2
7%2:2
5%模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
44%
平局
29%
客胜
27%
进球数
Over 1.5
74%
Under 1.5
26%
Over 2.5
47%
Under 2.5
53%
Over 3.5
26%
Under 3.5
74%
双重机会
主胜或平局
73%
客胜或平局
56%
非平局
71%
双方进球
是
53%
否
47%
关键因素
- Strong form vs. poor form: Brentford have won 3 of their last 5 games, while Brighton have lost 4 of their last 5.
- Home strength meets away weakness: Brentford's solid home defense (0.81 goals conceded) faces Brighton's weak away defense (1.82 goals conceded).
- Brighton's offensive struggles: According to stats, Brighton's goal production has dropped significantly (currently 0.4 goals per game vs. a season average of 1.4), minimizing their chances of scoring.
风险因素
- Head-to-head record: The historical record of the last five matches slightly favors Brighton with two wins.
- Brentford's declining offense: Brentford are also currently scoring fewer goals (1.2) than their season average (1.6), which could lead to a tight match.
概述
Brentford (7th place, 40 points) host Brighton & Hove Albion (14th place, 31 points) at the Gtech Community Stadium
Premier League match on February 21, 2026, 3:00 PM
Brentford is fighting for a European spot, while Brighton aims to stabilize in mid-table
近期状态
Brentford are showing strong form with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss from their last 5 matches
Form: LWWDW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Brighton, on the other hand, is in a crisis with only one draw and 4 losses from their last 5 games, including three consecutive defeats
Form: LDLLL
统计数据
Brentford are very stable defensively at home, conceding only 0.81 goals per game on average
In attack, they score 1.5 goals per home match
Brighton are vulnerable away from home, conceding an average of 1.82 goals
In 17 of Brighton's 26 league games, both teams scored
历史交锋
The record of the last 5 head-to-head encounters is balanced
Brighton has won 2 matches, Brentford 1, with 2 draws
The goal difference is also even at 6:6
关键球员
For Brentford, striker Igor Thiago is the central figure in attack with 17 goals this season
He is supported by Dango Ouattara (5 goals, 1 assist) and midfielder Vitaly Janelt (1 goal, 4 assists)
For Brighton, Danny Welbeck is the most dangerous attacker with 8 goals
Pascal Groß sets the tempo in midfield, while defensive leader Lewis Dunk organizes the backline
门将
The goalkeepers are Caoimhín Kelleher for Brentford and Bart Verbruggen for Brighton
Kelleher has kept 6 clean sheets this season
Verbruggen has managed this in 5 matches
影响因素
The Gtech Community Stadium is a fortress for Brentford, where they concede only 0.81 goals per game defensively
The last five home games have been rather low-scoring, with an average of 2.4 goals
Brighton must overcome their significant defensive weakness away from home (1.82 goals conceded per game)