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Ligue 1

Strasbourg - Lens

08/29/2026, 03:15 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
Strasbourg
1.4
Total xG
2.6
Lens
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

2:1

9%

1:2

8%

2:0

7%

0:2

5%
xG 分解
STRLEN

Strasbourg

最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.28
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.7 赛季平均)
-0.28
排名劣势 (第8位 vs 第2位, 相差6位)
-0.19
防守实力 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
-0.19
Diego Moreira未进大名单 (4球, 7助攻)
Martial Godo未进大名单 (10球, 1助攻)
Julio Enciso未进大名单 (3球, 6助攻)
Guela Doué替补席 (2球, 6助攻)
Valentín Barco未进大名单 (2球, 4助攻)
Samir El Mourabet未进大名单 (1球, 2助攻)
Ben Chilwell未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)
Ismaël Doukouré未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)
Abdoul Ouattara未进大名单 (2球, 0助攻)
64%进球产出缺失 (仅24%可用)

Lens

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.2倍)
-0.26
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.8球)
+0.21
状态上升 (2.8 vs 2.1 赛季平均)
+0.21
排名优势 (第2位 vs 第8位, 相差6位)
+0.04
Odsonne Édouard未进大名单 (12球, 3助攻)
Adrien Thomasson未进大名单 (3球, 10助攻)
Mamadou Sangaré未进大名单 (3球, 4助攻)
Saud Abdulhamid未进大名单 (2球, 4助攻)
51%进球产出缺失 (仅47%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.6球 vs 总体2.1球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

39%

平局

29%

客胜

31%

进球数

Over 1.5

75%

Under 1.5

25%

Over 2.5

49%

Under 2.5

51%

Over 3.5

27%

Under 3.5

73%

双重机会

主胜或平局

69%

客胜或平局

61%

非平局

71%

双方进球

55%

45%

关键因素
  • Squad limitations: Strasbourg has only 24% of its usual starting XI goal threat available due to injuries and selection
  • Defensive pressure: Lens averaged 6.4 shots on target in recent matches compared to Strasbourg's 2.8
  • Absences for Lens: The visitors are also depleted with only 48% of their usual starting XI offensive strength available
风险因素
  • Top scorer J. Panichelli is sidelined due to injury after scoring 16 goals in 27 appearances
  • Strasbourg's goal production is faltering recently at just 0.8 goals per match compared to a season average of 1.7
  • Lens' strong offense currently scores 2.8 goals per match, exceeding their season average of 2.1
概述

Strasbourg hosts Lens at the Stade de la Meinau

Ligue 1 match on August 29, 2026, 4:15 PM

Clash between bottom-placed Strasbourg (18th place, 0 points) and third-placed Lens (3rd place, 3 points)

The hosts are under pressure after an opening defeat

近期状态

Strasbourg's current form is LWLLL

The home team has suffered three consecutive defeats

Lens arrives with a form of WLWLW

The visitors won their last match 5-2

统计数据

Strasbourg scored an avg. of 1.71 goals per game last season while conceding 1.38

Lens scored an avg. of 1.94 goals per match and conceded 1.03

On the road, the visitors conceded an average of 1.38 goals

The mathematical model calculates a 55% probability of both teams scoring

历史交锋

There have been 4 recent head-to-head matches between the teams

The record is balanced with 1 win for Strasbourg and 1 win for Lens alongside 2 draws

The last meeting ended in a 1-1 draw on February 27, 2026

关键球员

Sebastian Nanasi (7 goals, 2 assists) and Andrew Omobamidele anchor the hosts

Gessime Yassine provides offensive drive from the wings

For the visitors, Florian Thauvin shines with 11 season goals and 6 assists alongside Matthieu Udol

Abdallah Sima contributed 2 goals and 2 assists in 21 appearances

门将

Filip Jørgensen starts in goal for the home side

Robin Risser, who made 33 appearances last season, features for Lens

The visitors secured 12 clean sheets in the previous campaign

影响因素

Stade de la Meinau saw an average of 4.0 goals per game recently

The venue featured over 2.5 goals in 80% of those matches

The historical head-to-head record at this ground is balanced with one win for each team

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