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Ligue 1

LOSC Lille - Paris Saint Germain

08/28/2026, 07:00 PM

2 : 2
预期进球
LOSC Lille
1.2
Total xG
2.4
Paris Saint Germain
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

11%

1:0

10%

0:1

9%

2:1

8%
xG 分解
LLPSG

LOSC Lille

防守实力 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
-0.26
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
+0.08
Matías Fernández-Pardo未进大名单 (8球, 5助攻)
Thomas Meunier未进大名单 (1球, 2助攻)

Paris Saint Germain

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.27倍)
-0.22
防守实力 (场均失1.1球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
-0.13
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.2球)
-0.07
Ousmane Dembélé未进大名单 (10球, 7助攻)
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia替补席 (8球, 4助攻)
Nuno Mendes未进大名单 (4球, 5助攻)
João Neves未进大名单 (5球, 1助攻)
58%进球产出缺失 (仅52%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.7球 vs 总体2.4球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

37%

平局

31%

客胜

32%

进球数

Over 1.5

70%

Under 1.5

30%

Over 2.5

42%

Under 2.5

58%

Over 3.5

22%

Under 3.5

79%

双重机会

主胜或平局

68%

客胜或平局

64%

非平局

69%

双方进球

50%

50%

关键因素
  • Only 52% of the goal threat available, without Ousmane Dembélé, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, Nuno Mendes, and João Neves
  • Lille has recently averaged more goals with 1.8 per game compared to their season average of 1.5
  • The mathematical analysis puts Lille slightly ahead with a 37% home win probability
风险因素
  • Lille's historical inferiority against Paris Saint Germain with no wins in the last 4 head-to-head matches
  • Absence of M. Fernandez Pardo on Lille's side due to a yellow card suspension
概述

LOSC Lille (3rd place, 3 points) host Paris Saint Germain (9th place, 1 point)

Ligue 1 match on August 28, 2026, 8:45 PM at the Stade Pierre-Mauroy

An early clash of top contenders on matchday two

近期状态

Lille is in strong form with the form string WLWWW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

They recorded 4 wins and 1 loss across their last 5 matches

Paris Saint Germain has the form string WWDDD

The visitors registered 2 wins and 3 draws in their recent outings

统计数据

Lille scored an average of 1.53 goals and conceded 1.09 goals per game over the season

At home, Lille averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.06 goals conceded

Paris Saint Germain averaged 2.18 goals scored and 0.85 goals conceded overall

In away matches, Paris scored an average of 2.2 goals and conceded 1.13 goals

历史交锋

There are 4 head-to-head matches recorded in the database

Lille has not won a single game, with 1 draw and 3 wins for Paris Saint Germain

The goal difference stands at 3:11 against Lille

Their last meeting ended in a 3-0 victory for Paris Saint Germain on January 16, 2026

关键球员

Benjamin André commands the midfield with a strong 7.15 season rating

Hákon Arnar Haraldsson shines with 8 goals this season

Romain Perraud contributed 3 goals and 4 assists from defense

Vitinha leads the PSG midfield with a 7.51 season rating and 7 assists

Désiré Doué stands out with 7 goals and 4 assists

Achraf Hakimi is in rising form, contributing 1 goal and 2 assists in his last 5 appearances

门将

Berke Özer guards the net for Lille with a 6.84 rating and 13 clean sheets this season

Matvey Safonov starts for Paris Saint Germain with a 7.01 rating and has contributed to 18 clean sheets

影响因素

The game will be played on grass at the Stade Pierre-Mauroy

The venue has averaged 2.2 goals per game over the last 5 matches played here

Lille remains highly competitive at home with a 24:17 goal record across 16 home games

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