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Ligue 1

Paris - Nice

08/30/2026, 01:00 PM

3 : 0
预期进球
Paris
1.4
Total xG
2.7
Nice
1.3
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

2:1

8%

1:2

8%

2:0

6%

0:2

6%
xG 分解
PARNIC

Paris

最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.11
状态上升 (1.7 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
+0.09
Marshall Munetsi未进大名单 (4球, 1助攻)
Jonathan Ikoné未进大名单 (3球, 1助攻)
Rudy Matondo替补席 (2球, 0助攻)

Nice

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.75倍)
-0.17
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.14
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.1 赛季平均)
-0.10
Hicham Boudaoui未进大名单 (1球, 2助攻)
Morgan Sanson未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)
29%进球产出缺失 (仅67%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.9球)
+0.44
+0.44
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

36%

平局

29%

客胜

35%

进球数

Over 1.5

77%

Under 1.5

23%

Over 2.5

51%

Under 2.5

49%

Over 3.5

29%

Under 3.5

71%

双重机会

主胜或平局

65%

客胜或平局

64%

非平局

71%

双方进球

56%

44%

关键因素
  • Artificial turf advantage: Paris perform strongly on this surface (5-3-2) while Nice lost both of their previous games on turf
  • Form curve: Paris show a positive trend while Nice struggled recently, averaging only 0.8 goals
  • Tactical edge: Paris averaged 3.2 shots on target in recent matches, showing more consistent offensive threat
风险因素
  • Nice squad impact: Hicham Boudaoui and Morgan Sanson are missing, leaving only 67% of the usual starting goal threat available
  • Defensive struggles: Nice concede an average of 1.94 goals per away match
  • Low attacking threat: Nice averaged only 3.0 shots on target in recent matches
概述

Paris (14th place, 1 point) host Nice (13th place, 1 point) at Stade Jean Bouin

Ligue 1 match on August 30, 2026, 3:00 PM

A balanced matchup in the lower tier of the table after the opening games

近期状态

Paris display a more stable trend with a form of DDWDD

They recorded four draws and one win in their last five matches

Nice show a weaker form of LWLLD with three defeats

The visitors managed a draw in their most recent fixture

统计数据

Paris score an average of 1.38 goals and concede 1.47 goals per game

Nice have a weaker attack of 1.09 goals and a more vulnerable defense of 1.76 goals

Nice struggle particularly away from home, conceding an average of 1.94 goals

历史交锋

Two head-to-head matches in history

Paris lead the record with one win and one draw, scoring 2:1 goals

Their last meeting ended in a 1-0 home win for Paris on March 1, 2026

关键球员

Ilan Kebbal is the top threat for Paris with 9 goals and 4 assists

Moses Simon contributed 3 goals and 3 assists in 29 appearances

Pierre Lees-Melou stabilizes the midfield with an average rating of 6.87

For Nice, Jonathan Clauss stands out with 6 assists this season

Sofiane Diop has already scored 8 goals for the visitors

Melvin Bard adds 2 goals from defense

Not named in the squad for Paris: Marshall Munetsi, Jonathan Ikoné, and Rudy Matondo

门将

Kevin Trapp guards the Paris goal with an average rating of 6.81 and 4 home clean sheets

Yehvann Diouf plays for Nice, making 26 appearances with a rating of 7.01

影响因素

The game will be played on artificial turf at Stade Jean Bouin

Paris have a solid record on this surface with 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses

Nice lost both of their previous matches on artificial turf, conceding 4 goals and scoring 1

Stade Jean Bouin history suggests high scoring with an average of 3.6 goals per game

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