比赛报告 →
Paris – Nice3 : 0
模型为何这样判断
Paris
1.36
总 xG
2.70
Nice
1.34
我们的模型在开赛前给出的预期进球
模型的计算方式：每个因素都会为一支球队增加或减少预期进球。
| 因素 | Paris | Nice |
|---|---|---|
| 高进球联赛 (场均2.9球) | +0.44 | +0.44 |
| 进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.75倍) | −0.17 | |
| 最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球) | −0.14 | |
| 最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球) | −0.11 | |
| 状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.1 赛季平均) | −0.10 | |
| 状态上升 (1.7 vs 1.4 赛季平均) | +0.09 | |
| Marshall Munetsi未进大名单 (4球, 1助攻) | ||
| Jonathan Ikoné未进大名单 (3球, 1助攻) | ||
| Rudy Matondo替补席 (2球, 0助攻) | ||
| Hicham Boudaoui未进大名单 (1球, 2助攻) | ||
| Morgan Sanson未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻) | ||
| 29%进球产出缺失 (仅67%可用) |
关键因素
- Artificial turf advantage: Paris perform strongly on this surface (5-3-2) while Nice lost both of their previous games on turf
- Form curve: Paris show a positive trend while Nice struggled recently, averaging only 0.8 goals
- Tactical edge: Paris averaged 3.2 shots on target in recent matches, showing more consistent offensive threat
风险
- Nice squad impact: Hicham Boudaoui and Morgan Sanson are missing, leaving only 67% of the usual starting goal threat available
- Defensive struggles: Nice concede an average of 1.94 goals per away match
- Low attacking threat: Nice averaged only 3.0 shots on target in recent matches
全部概率
赛果
Paris36%
平局29%
Nice35%
进球
大于 1.577%
小于 1.523%
大于 2.551%
小于 2.549%
大于 3.529%
小于 3.571%
双重机会
Paris或平局65%
Nice或平局64%
非平局71%
双方均进球
是56%
否44%
最可能的比分
1:1
14%
2:1
8%
1:2
8%
2:0
6%
0:2
6%
3:0
最终比分
首发阵容
Paris 4-2-3-1 · Nice 3-4-2-1
Paris
- 1 K. Trapp
- 17 A. Camara
- 31 S. Chergui
- 42 D. Coppola
- 6 Otavio Ataide
- 20 M. Lopez
- 33 P. Lees Melou
- 10 I. Kebbal
- 7 P. Pagis
- 27 M. Simon
- 9 L. Sinayoko
Nice
- 23 Y. Diouf
- 5 M. Abdelmonem
- 55 Y. Ndayishimiye
- 35 X. Mandza Tsiendi
- 92 J. Clauss
- 39 D. Coulibaly
- 28 A. Witsel
- 26 M. Bard
- 7 G. Hein
- 10 S. Diop
- 29 N. N'Goumou Minpole
替补
- 23 R. Matondo
- 5 M. Mbow
- 14 H. Traoré
- 4 V. Marchetti
- 16 O. Nkambadio
- 11 J. Krasso
- 28 T. De Smet
- 8 E. Zabi Gueu
- 18 O. Sissoko
- 21 I. Jansson
- 11 S. Wahi
- 33 A. Mendy
- 84 H. Koutoune
- 44 Z. Diallo
- 87 E. Pereira
- 77 T. Boulhendi
- 38 A. Camara
- 41 D. Morana
准备开始了吗？
创建账户，探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。
创建账户 →