🇫🇷

Ligue 1

Nice - Le Mans

09/05/2026, 06:45 PM

1 : 1
预期进球
Nice
1.3
Total xG
2.6
Le Mans
1.3
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:2

8%

2:1

8%

0:2

6%

2:0

6%
xG 分解
NICLM

Nice

防守不足 (场均失2球 vs 联赛平均1.6球)
+0.48
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.77倍)
-0.36
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.14
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1 赛季平均)
-0.09
Melvin Bard 未进大名单 (2球, 1助攻)
Hicham Boudaoui未进大名单 (1球, 2助攻)
Morgan Sanson未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)
主场表现强势 (场均1.3球 vs 总体1球)

Le Mans

小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
-0.43
全员可用

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.9球)
+0.37
+0.37
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

34%

平局

29%

客胜

37%

进球数

Over 1.5

76%

Under 1.5

24%

Over 2.5

49%

Under 2.5

51%

Over 3.5

27%

Under 3.5

73%

双重机会

主胜或平局

63%

客胜或平局

66%

非平局

71%

双方进球

55%

45%

关键因素
  • Tactical advantage: Le Mans averaged 5.0 shots on target in recent matches compared to Nice's average of 3.4
  • Squad impact: Nice is missing Melvin Bard, Hicham Boudaoui, and Morgan Sanson, reducing their active assists share to 75%
  • Nice's goal drought: The home side is still waiting for their first goal of the season after 2 matches
风险因素
  • High defensive risk: Le Mans conceded an average of 2.5 goals per game this season
  • Nice's offensive decline: The team scored fewer goals recently (avg. 0.75) compared to their season average of 1.05
  • Limited data: No head-to-head matches are available between the teams in the provided dataset
概述

Nice (17th place, 1 point) host Le Mans (13th place, 1 point) at the Allianz Riviera

Ligue 1 match on September 5, 2026, 8:45 PM

Both teams are looking for their first win of the season

近期状态

Nice with a form record of WLLDL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

The home team recently suffered a 0-3 loss against Paris and a 0-0 draw against Lorient

Le Mans has a record of DL

The visitors recently lost 2-3 to Rennes following a 2-2 draw with Brest

统计数据

Nice scored 37 goals in 34 matches (avg. 1.09 per game) and conceded 60 goals (avg. 1.76 per game)

Nice's home record stands at avg. 1.12 goals scored and avg. 1.59 conceded

Le Mans scored 4 goals in 2 matches (avg. 2.00 per game) and conceded 5 goals (avg. 2.50 per game)

Away from home Le Mans conceded 3 goals in their single match so far

关键球员

Sofiane Diop scored 8 goals and provided 3 assists this season with an average rating of 6.97

Jonathan Clauss provided 6 assists and scored 1 goal in 30 appearances with a rating of 7.12

Elye Wahi has 5 season goals and 1 assist from 14 games

门将

Yehvann Diouf played 26 matches in goal for Nice this season with an average rating of 7.01

Ewan Hatfout is in the starting lineup for Le Mans

影响因素

The match takes place at the Allianz Riviera on grass

The historical record at this venue shows an average of 1.6 goals per game

Both teams scored in 40% of the historical home matches

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