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Ligue 1

Paris Saint Germain - Monaco

09/04/2026, 07:05 PM

1 : 2
预期进球
Paris Saint Germain
1.8
Total xG
2.8
Monaco
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

2:0

10%

2:1

10%

3:0

6%

3:1

6%
xG 分解
PSGMON

Paris Saint Germain

防守实力 (场均失1.1球 vs 联赛平均1.6球)
-0.47
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.2球)
-0.07
排名优势 (第1位 vs 第7位, 相差6位)
+0.05
Ousmane Dembélé替补席 (10球, 7助攻)
Nuno Mendes未进大名单 (4球, 5助攻)
20%进球产出缺失 (仅81%可用)

Monaco

最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.4球)
+0.16
状态上升 (2.4 vs 1.9 赛季平均)
+0.16
排名劣势 (第7位 vs 第1位, 相差6位)
-0.13
13%进球产出缺失 (仅91%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.9球)
+0.40
+0.40
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

56%

平局

26%

客胜

18%

进球数

Over 1.5

77%

Under 1.5

23%

Over 2.5

52%

Under 2.5

48%

Over 3.5

30%

Under 3.5

70%

双重机会

主胜或平局

82%

客胜或平局

44%

非平局

74%

双方进球

53%

47%

关键因素
  • Defensive contrast: Paris Saint Germain conceded an average of only 0.63 goals at home, whereas Monaco conceded an average of 2.07 goals in away matches
  • Offensive approach: Paris Saint Germain averaged 5.0 shots on target in recent matches, while Monaco averaged 5.4 shots on target in their past games
  • Mathematical prediction: The prediction model calculates a 56% probability for a home victory for Paris Saint Germain
风险因素
  • Away defense vulnerability: Monaco concedes an average of 2.07 goals per away match
  • Draw streak: Paris Saint Germain ended each of their last four matches with a draw
概述

Paris Saint Germain host Monaco at the Parc des Princes

Ligue 1 match on September 4, 2026, 9:05 PM

The hosts sit in 12th place, while Monaco arrive in 2nd place

The prediction model estimates a home win probability of 56%

近期状态

Form of Paris Saint Germain: WDDDD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

The hosts enter the match on a streak of four consecutive draws

Form of Monaco: WWWWW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

The visitors travel with a perfect streak of five consecutive wins

Monaco currently score more frequently averaging 2.4 goals compared to their season average

统计数据

Paris Saint Germain scored an average of 2.18 goals per game this season

Their defense conceded an average of 0.85 goals per match

Monaco averaged 1.76 goals scored per game this season

In away matches, the visitors conceded an average of 2.07 goals

历史交锋

5 head-to-head matches in the database

Both teams have recorded 2 wins each, with 1 draw

The goal difference stands at 10:9 in favor of Paris Saint Germain

The last encounter ended in a 1:3 win for Monaco on March 6, 2026

关键球员

Vitinha impresses with a season average rating of 7.51

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia has recorded eight goals with a rating of 7.28

Lamine Camara leads the visitors with a season rating of 7.24

Aleksandr Golovin scored one goal in his last four matches with a rating of 7.23

Not nominated: Ousmane Dembélé (10 goals / 7 assists), Nuno Mendes (4 goals / 5 assists)

门将

Matvey Safonov has played 15 matches (rating of 7.01)

Lukas Hradecky has made 17 appearances (rating of 6.68)

Paris Saint Germain kept a total of 18 clean sheets this season

Monaco recorded 7 clean sheets in this campaign

影响因素

The match will be played on grass at the Parc des Princes

Stadium statistics show a high goal average of 4.0 goals per game

Over 2.5 goals occurred in 80% of matches played at this venue

Paris Saint Germain concede only 0.63 goals per home game

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