Ligue 1
Le Havre - Brest
09/05/2026, 06:45 PM
预期进球
1.1
2.5
1.4
1:1
14%0:1
10%0:0
10%1:2
9%0:2
8%xG 分解
Le Havre
Brest
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
27%
平局
30%
客胜
43%
进球数
Over 1.5
73%
Under 1.5
27%
Over 2.5
45%
Under 2.5
55%
Over 3.5
24%
Under 3.5
76%
双重机会
主胜或平局
57%
客胜或平局
73%
非平局
70%
双方进球
是
51%
否
49%
关键因素
- Critical squad impact: Only 47% of the seasonal goal threat is available for Le Havre without Issa Soumaré, Sofiane Boufal and Arouna Sangante
- Offensive output: Le Havre averaged 4.2 shots on target in recent matches
- Model prediction: The mathematical model estimates a 43% probability for an away win by Brest
风险因素
- Defensive weakness: Brest concedes an average of 2.67 goals per away game this season
- Lack of offensive power: Le Havre averaged only 1.0 goals per game over their last 5 matches
概述
Le Havre (15th place, 1 point) host Brest (11th place, 2 points) at the Stade Océane
Ligue 1 match on September 5, 2026, 8:45 PM
Both teams are looking for their first win of the season
近期状态
Le Havre has the form DLDLD with 0 wins and 2 losses in their last 5 games
Brest shows the form LLLDD with 2 draws and 3 losses
Both teams are still waiting for a three-point win in this phase
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Le Havre scores an average of 0.94 goals per game and concedes 1.29 goals
Brest averages 1.26 goals scored but concedes an average of 2.67 goals away
In Le Havre's home history, games averaged 2.4 goals per match
历史交锋
Brest leads the record of the last 4 head-to-head matches with 3 wins
Le Havre won only 1 match, with a goal difference of 1 to 5
The last meeting on March 8, 2026, ended in a 2-0 win for Brest
关键球员
Rassoul Ndiaye (4 goals, 4 assists, rating 6.97) controls the midfield
Ally Samatta (2 goals, 1 assist) and Simon Ebonog (1 goal) support the attack
Ludovic Ajorque (8 goals, 9 assists, rating 7.16) is Brest's most dangerous attacker
Kamory Doumbia (5 goals, 4 assists) and Mama Baldé (2 goals, 2 assists) strengthen the offense
门将
Lionel Mpasi-Nzau is in goal for Le Havre with an average rating of 7.33
Egil Selvik starts in goal for Brest
影响因素
The match takes place on natural grass at Stade Océane
The historical goal average at this stadium is 2.4 goals per game