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Ligue 1

Olympique Lyonnais - Auxerre

09/04/2026, 05:00 PM

3 : 1
预期进球
Olympique Lyonnais
1.3
Total xG
2.2
Auxerre
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

12%

1:0

12%

2:0

9%

2:1

8%
xG 分解
OLAUX

Olympique Lyonnais

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.73倍)
-0.54
排名优势 (第4位 vs 第15位, 相差11位)
+0.07
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
-0.04
Ainsley Maitland-Niles未进大名单 (1球, 4助攻)
Malick Fofana未进大名单 (2球, 1助攻)
Ruben Kluivert未进大名单 (1球, 2助攻)

Auxerre

排名劣势 (第15位 vs 第4位, 相差11位)
-0.27
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
+0.12
状态上升 (1.4 vs 1 赛季平均)
+0.12
Sinaly Diomandé替补席 (2球, 2助攻)
Bryan Okoh未进大名单 (3球, 0助攻)
Romain Faivre替补席 (0球, 2助攻)
61%进球产出缺失 (仅45%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.9球)
+0.40
+0.40
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

43%

平局

32%

客胜

25%

进球数

Over 1.5

67%

Under 1.5

33%

Over 2.5

39%

Under 2.5

61%

Over 3.5

19%

Under 3.5

81%

双重机会

主胜或平局

75%

客胜或平局

57%

非平局

68%

双方进球

46%

54%

关键因素
  • Severe squad issues for Auxerre: Only 45% of the usual starting XI strength is available, with key players Sinaly Diomandé, Bryan Okoh, and Romain Faivre missing from the lineup
  • Tactical dominance: Lyon averaged 6.0 shots on target per game in recent matches
  • Form gap: 4th-placed Lyon faces bottom-of-the-table Auxerre, who suffered two consecutive defeats
风险因素
  • Home win probability predicted at 43%, representing a moderate risk for a direct home victory
  • Auxerre currently scores an average of 1.4 goals per game, which is higher than their season average of 1.0
  • Auxerre's defense concedes an average of 1.69 goals per away match
概述

Olympique Lyonnais hosts Auxerre at the Groupama Stadium

Ligue 1 match on September 4, 2026, 7:00 PM

Lyon sits in 4th place with 4 points from 2 matches

Auxerre travels as the bottom team with 0 points

The hosts enter this matchup as clear favorites

近期状态

Lyon shows solid form with a WDWLD record

Most recently they played out a 1-1 draw against Le Havre

Auxerre arrives with a LWDLL form

The visitors suffered two consecutive defeats recently

统计数据

Lyon scores an average of 1.58 goals per home match

Their home record shows a stable defense with 0.95 goals conceded per game

Auxerre concedes an average of 1.69 goals in away matches

The visitors score an average of just 1.00 goals per away game

历史交锋

There have been 4 head-to-head matches historically

Lyon leads the record with 2 wins and 2 draws

The last direct meeting ended in a 3-2 victory for Lyon

Auxerre is still waiting for their first win against Lyon

关键球员

Corentin Tolisso shines with 11 goals and 4 assists this season

Pavel Sulc has already contributed 10 goals and 3 assists

Ernest Nuamah shows rising form with one goal in recent matches

For the visitors, Danny Namaso is a threat with 3 goals and 3 assists

Kévin Danois has recorded 3 goals and one assist in midfield

Defender Lamine Sy scored once in the last five games

门将

Dominik Greif guards the goal for Lyon and kept 8 clean sheets

Mamadou Diop starts in goal for Auxerre

Auxerre has kept only 9 clean sheets in total this season

影响因素

The Groupama Stadium features a high average of 3.6 goals per game

Over 2.5 goals were scored in 80% of matches at this venue

The home advantage strongly favors Lyon with only 0.95 goals conceded

The match will be played on grass

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