Ligue 1
Olympique Marseille - Paris
09/06/2026, 06:45 PM
预期进球
1.6
2.4
0.8
1:1
13%1:0
13%2:0
11%0:0
10%2:1
9%xG 分解
Olympique Marseille
Paris
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
55%
平局
28%
客胜
18%
进球数
Over 1.5
71%
Under 1.5
29%
Over 2.5
44%
Under 2.5
56%
Over 3.5
23%
Under 3.5
77%
双重机会
主胜或平局
82%
客胜或平局
46%
非平局
72%
双方进球
是
46%
否
54%
关键因素
- The mathematical model predicts a home win with a 55% probability and expects 1.61 goals for Marseille
- Marseille averaged 5.0 shots on target with 59.4% possession in recent matches
- Paris scored more frequently recently with an average of 2.33 goals compared to their season average of 1.44
风险因素
- Marseille scored only 1.40 goals on average recently compared to their season average of 1.85
- Paris averaged only 3.2 shots on target per game in recent matches
概述
Olympique Marseille hosts Paris at the Stade Vélodrome
Ligue 1 match on September 6, 2026, 6:45 PM
Marseille is currently in 10th place with 3 points
Paris travels as the 6th-placed team with 4 points
A highly anticipated mid-table clash in Ligue 1
近期状态
Marseille's recent form is WLLWL
The home side recorded 2 wins and 3 losses in their recent games
Paris is in stable form with DWDDW
The visitors achieved 2 wins and 3 draws in their last outings across all competitions
统计数据
Marseille scores an average of 1.85 goals and concedes 1.32 goals per match this season
At home Marseille averages 1.86 goals scored and 0.91 goals conceded
Paris averages 1.38 goals scored and 1.47 goals conceded this season
Away from home Paris concedes an average of 1.64 goals while scoring 1.36
历史交锋
There have been 2 head-to-head matches between these teams
Marseille registered 1 win while Paris has not won a match yet
1 game ended in a draw
The last meeting ended in a 2:2 draw
Marseille scored 7 goals in total while Paris scored 4 goals
关键球员
Amine Gouiri has scored 8 goals and provided 3 assists this season
Igor Paixão has contributed 6 goals and 5 assists with a rising form trend of 7.27 in his last 5 appearances
Ilan Kebbal is a key attacking threat for Paris with 9 goals and 4 assists
Not in the starting lineup for Marseille: Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
Not in the starting lineup for Paris: Moses Simon, Marshall Munetsi, Jonathan Ikoné, Rudy Matondo
门将
Jeffrey de Lange has made 5 league appearances with an average rating of 6.51
Marseille has achieved 9 clean sheets this season
Kevin Trapp has played 22 matches with an average rating of 6.81
Paris has recorded 8 clean sheets this season
影响因素
Marseille is defensively stronger at home conceding only 0.91 goals per match compared to 2.08 on the road
Historical statistics favour Marseille at the Stade Vélodrome