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Ligue 1

Troyes - Strasbourg

09/06/2026, 01:00 PM

2 : 6
预期进球
Troyes
1.5
Total xG
2.7
Strasbourg
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

2:1

9%

1:2

8%

2:0

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
TROSTR

Troyes

小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
-0.06
全员可用

Strasbourg

最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.16
状态下滑 (1.2 vs 1.7 赛季平均)
-0.16
Diego Moreira未进大名单 (4球, 7助攻)
Martial Godo未进大名单 (10球, 1助攻)
Julio Enciso未进大名单 (3球, 6助攻)
Samir El Mourabet未进大名单 (1球, 2助攻)
Ben Chilwell未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)
Abdoul Ouattara未进大名单 (2球, 0助攻)
65%进球产出缺失 (仅30%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.8球)
+0.33
+0.33
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

41%

平局

29%

客胜

30%

进球数

Over 1.5

77%

Under 1.5

23%

Over 2.5

51%

Under 2.5

49%

Over 3.5

29%

Under 3.5

71%

双重机会

主胜或平局

70%

客胜或平局

59%

非平局

71%

双方进球

56%

44%

关键因素
  • Only 31% of attacking threat available, without Diego Moreira, Martial Godo, Julio Enciso, Samir El Mourabet, Ben Chilwell, Abdoul Ouattara
  • Troyes played very counter-oriented in recent matches, averaging 37% possession
  • Strasbourg's goal scoring has stalled recently, averaging 1.2 goals compared to their season average of 1.7
风险因素
  • Troyes averaged only 2.0 shots on target per match in recent games
  • Strasbourg concede an average of 1.75 goals per away game
概述

Troyes host Strasbourg on September 6, 2026, at 3:00 PM

The hosts currently sit in 7th place with 4 points

Strasbourg travel as the 12th-placed team with 3 points

A tight Ligue 1 encounter is expected

近期状态

Troyes are undefeated this season with a DW form

The home side recorded 1 win and 1 draw in their recent matches

Strasbourg show a form of WLLLW

The visitors recorded 2 wins and 3 losses in their last matches

统计数据

Troyes score an average of 1.0 goals per game this season

The hosts have conceded an average of 0.5 goals so far

Strasbourg have a season average of 1.71 goals scored

On the road, the visitors concede an average of 1.75 goals per match

The mathematical model predicts 1.48 goals for Troyes and 1.24 goals for Strasbourg

影响因素

The match will be played on grass at Complexe Sportif de l'Aube N° 2

The stadium statistics show an average of 0.0 goals per game

The home advantage could play a role for Troyes with a calculated home win probability of 41%

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