Ligue 1
Toulouse - LOSC Lille
09/03/2026, 06:45 PM
预期进球
1.1
2.2
1.0
1:1
15%0:0
13%1:0
11%0:1
10%2:1
8%xG 分解
Toulouse
LOSC Lille
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
36%
平局
33%
客胜
31%
进球数
Over 1.5
65%
Under 1.5
35%
Over 2.5
37%
Under 2.5
63%
Over 3.5
17%
Under 3.5
83%
双重机会
主胜或平局
69%
客胜或平局
64%
非平局
67%
双方进球
是
45%
否
55%
关键因素
- Critical squad depletion: Toulouse is missing key starters Yann Gboho, Aron Dønnum, Djibril Sidibé, and Pape Demba Diop, leaving only 49% of their usual goal threat available
- Offensive tactical advantage: Lille averaged 5.2 shots on target in recent matches compared to Toulouse's average of only 3.0
- Historical dominance: Lille won all of the last 4 head-to-head matches, including a comprehensive 4-0 away victory in their last visit to Toulouse
风险因素
- Defensive vulnerability for Toulouse: The hosts conceded an average of 2.0 goals per match recently, which is higher than their season average of 1.39
- Limited offensive threat: Toulouse averaged only 3.0 shots on target per match in recent games, restricting their scoring opportunities
概述
Toulouse (16th place, 1 point) host LOSC Lille (3rd place, 4 points) at the Stadium de Toulouse
Ligue 1 match on September 3, 2026, 8:45 PM
Lille enter as favorites while Toulouse desperately need points after a slow start
近期状态
Toulouse Form: WWLLD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Lille Form: LWWWD
Lille shows positive form with 3 wins and 1 draw in recent games
Toulouse recorded a 2-2 draw against Brest in their last game after suffering two consecutive losses
统计数据
Toulouse averages 1.42 goals scored and 1.39 goals conceded per season
In home matches, Toulouse averages 1.39 goals scored and 1.33 goals conceded
Lille averages 1.53 goals scored and 1.09 goals conceded this season
Away from home, Lille averages 1.56 goals scored and 1.11 goals conceded
历史交锋
4 head-to-head matches in recent years
Lille won all 4 encounters with a total goal difference of 10-3
The last direct duel ended in a 4-0 away win for Lille on April 12, 2026
关键球员
Rasmus Nicolaisen played 32 matches with 1 goal and shows a rising form trend (delta +0.26)
Cristian Cásseres Jr. contributed 2 goals and 3 assists in 30 season appearances with a rating of 7.09
Santiago Hidalgo recorded 4 goals and 6 assists across 28 appearances
Hákon Arnar Haraldsson scored 8 goals and provided 2 assists in 32 matches with a rating of 7.07
Olivier Giroud registered 7 goals and 1 assist in 30 games with an average rating of 6.82
Benjamin André played 27 matches contributing 2 goals and 2 assists with a rating of 7.15
门将
Guillaume Restes made 33 appearances with an average rating of 6.77 and recorded 9 clean sheets this season
Berke Özer played 32 matches with an average rating of 6.84 and kept 13 clean sheets
影响因素
Home advantage for Toulouse with an average of 1.39 goals scored in home matches
The Stadium de Toulouse has a historical average of 2.8 goals scored per game
Both teams scored in 40% of historical venue matches, with Over 2.5 goals occurring in 60% of games
Lille shows strong offensive presence on the road, averaging 1.56 away goals per match