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Ligue 1

Le Mans - Lens

09/13/2026, 03:15 PM

2 : 2
预期进球
Le Mans
1.0
Total xG
2.9
Lens
1.9
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

1:2

10%

0:2

10%

1:3

6%

0:3

6%
xG 分解
LMLEN

Le Mans

防守不足 (场均失2球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
+0.61
小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
-0.48

Lens

最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.8球)
-0.07
Ismaëlo Ganiou替补席 (3球, 0助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.6球 vs 总体2球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

19%

平局

25%

客胜

55%

进球数

Over 1.5

80%

Under 1.5

20%

Over 2.5

56%

Under 2.5

44%

Over 3.5

33%

Under 3.5

67%

双重机会

主胜或平局

45%

客胜或平局

81%

非平局

75%

双方进球

56%

44%

关键因素
  • Clear model prediction: The mathematical model calculates a 55% probability for an away win by Lens
  • Attacking drive of the visitors: Lens averaged 6.2 shots on target in recent matches
  • Defensive contrast: Le Mans concedes an average of 2.0 goals per game, while Lens remains more stable defensively
风险因素
  • Fatigue factor for Lens: The visitors enter the match with only 3 days of rest since their last game
  • Unfamiliar surface: Played on artificial turf, where Lens has a balanced record of 1 win and 1 loss
  • Limited data availability regarding head-to-head matches between the two teams
概述

Le Mans (15th place, 2 points) host Lens (11th place, 3 points) at the Stade de La Pincenardière

Ligue 1 match on September 13, 2026, 4:15 PM

The away team enters as the favorite

近期状态

Le Mans is still waiting for their first win of the season with form DLD

In 3 league matches, the home side has 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss

Lens travels with a form of LWLLW, recording 2 wins and 3 losses in their last 5 competitive games

Most recently, the visitors secured a win against Slavia Praha

统计数据

Le Mans scores an average of 1.67 goals per game while conceding 2.0 goals

The visitors from Lens have a season average of 1.94 goals scored and 1.03 goals conceded

The home team had both teams score in all 3 of their league matches so far

Lens ended their away matches with an average of 1.94 goals scored and 1.38 conceded

关键球员

Florian Thauvin scores 11 goals and provides 6 assists in 33 appearances for Lens

Odsonne Édouard contributes 12 goals and 3 assists in 29 appearances for the visitors

Matthieu Udol records 1 goal and 7 assists across 34 matches

Not nominated for Lens: Ismaëblo Ganiou (3 goals)

门将

Ewan Hatfout starts in goal for Le Mans, recording 0 clean sheets so far this season

On the other side, Robin Risser is in goal for Lens, boasting 12 clean sheets this season

影响因素

The match will be played on artificial turf at the Stade de La Pincenardière

Le Mans has a record of 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses on this surface

Lens shows a record of 1 win and 1 loss on artificial turf

The only game played at this stadium this season ended with an average of 4.0 goals per game

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