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Ligue 1

Paris - Olympique Lyonnais

09/12/2026, 06:45 PM

0 : 0
预期进球
Paris
1.1
Total xG
2.5
Olympique Lyonnais
1.4
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:2

9%

0:2

8%

2:1

7%

2:2

5%
xG 分解
PAROL

Paris

状态上升 (2.5 vs 1.5 赛季平均)
+0.30
排名劣势 (第11位 vs 第4位, 相差7位)
-0.18
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2球)
+0.15
Moses Simon未进大名单 (3球, 3助攻)

Olympique Lyonnais

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.75倍)
-0.22
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
-0.05
排名优势 (第4位 vs 第11位, 相差7位)
+0.05
客场表现不佳 (场均1.3球 vs 总体1.8球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3球)
+0.50
+0.50
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

28%

平局

30%

客胜

43%

进球数

Over 1.5

73%

Under 1.5

27%

Over 2.5

46%

Under 2.5

54%

Over 3.5

25%

Under 3.5

75%

双重机会

主胜或平局

57%

客胜或平局

72%

非平局

70%

双方进球

52%

48%

关键因素
  • Paris is currently scoring more frequently (2.5) than their season average (1.5)
  • Olympique Lyonnais recently averaged 5.2 shots on target in recent matches
  • Clear advantage for Paris on artificial turf with 6 wins from 10 games while Lyon remains winless
风险因素
  • Limited data availability regarding weather conditions
  • Lyon concedes an average of 1.47 goals away compared to 0.95 at home
  • Paris concedes an average of 1.35 goals per game at home
概述

Paris host Olympique Lyonnais at the Stade Jean Bouin

Ligue 1 match on September 12, 2026, 8:45 PM

Both teams are level on points in 3rd and 4th place with 7 points each

The mathematical analysis calculates an away win probability of 43%

近期状态

Paris shows strong form WDDWW with 3 wins and 2 draws recently

Olympique Lyonnais displays form DWLDW with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss

Form legend: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Paris averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.47 goals conceded per match this season

At home their average is 1.4 goals scored and 1.35 goals conceded

Lyon scored an average of 1.56 goals while conceding 1.18 per game

Away from home Lyon concedes an average of 1.47 goals with 1.53 scored

历史交锋

There have been 2 head-to-head matches between these teams so far

Both games ended in a draw with a balanced goal difference of 4-4

The last meeting on March 8, 2026 ended in a 1-1 draw

关键球员

Ilan Kebbal stands out with 9 goals and 4 assists (Rating 7.37)

Pierre Lees-Melou contributed 1 goal and 3 assists so far

Luca Koleosho recorded 3 goals and 1 assist this season

Corentin Tolisso shines with 11 goals and 4 assists (Rating 7.28)

Pavel Sulc scored 10 goals and provided 3 assists so far

Abner has 3 goals and 2 assists with a 6.86 rating

Moses Simon (3 goals, 3 assists) is not nominated for the hosts

门将

Kevin Trapp played 22 league matches with a 6.81 rating and 8 clean sheets

Dominik Greif played 29 matches in goal (Rating 6.96) with 15 clean sheets in total

影响因素

The match is played on artificial turf at the Stade Jean Bouin

Paris has 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses on artificial turf

Lyon recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss on this surface

Historically this venue averages 3.2 goals per game

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