Ligue 1
Lorient - Toulouse
09/12/2026, 06:45 PM
预期进球
1.4
2.4
1.0
1:1
14%1:0
11%0:0
11%2:0
9%2:1
9%xG 分解
Lorient
Toulouse
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
45%
平局
30%
客胜
25%
进球数
Over 1.5
71%
Under 1.5
29%
Over 2.5
44%
Under 2.5
56%
Over 3.5
23%
Under 3.5
77%
双重机会
主胜或平局
75%
客胜或平局
55%
非平局
70%
双方进球
是
50%
否
50%
关键因素
- Squad impact for Toulouse: Only 52% of the usual starting XI threat is available with Yann Gboho missing
- Tactical setup: Lorient recently averaged 3.2 shots on target with 51.4% possession in their last games
- Mathematical prediction: The model calculates a 75% probability for the double chance Lorient or Draw
风险因素
- Squad weakness for Lorient: Théo Le Bris and Arthur Avom are missing, leaving only 65% of the goal threat available
- Stagnant attack: Both teams' goalscoring is currently stalling at an average of 0.8 goals per match recently
- Low threat creation: Lorient averaged only 3.2 shots on target in their recent matches
概述
Lorient host Toulouse at Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir
Ligue 1 match on September 12, 2026, 6:45 PM
Lorient are in 8th place with 4 points, while Toulouse sit in 17th place with 1 point
Both sides look to establish stability in the early stage of the season
近期状态
Lorient's form is LDDLW with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses
They secured a 1-0 away victory against Lens in their last match
Toulouse travel with a form of WLLDL including 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses
They suffered a 0-1 home defeat against Lille in their previous game
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Lorient score an average of 1.41 goals and concede 1.14 goals per home game
Toulouse average 1.47 goals scored and 1.47 goals conceded on the road
Lorient have recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats on artificial turf
历史交锋
Two head-to-head matches recorded between these teams
Toulouse won once, while one encounter ended in a draw
The last meeting on March 21, 2026, resulted in a 1-0 victory for Toulouse
关键球员
Arsène Kouassi has contributed 2 goals and 7 assists for Lorient
Jean-Victor Makengo has recorded 4 goals and 2 assists this season
Cristian Cásseres Jr. leads Toulouse's midfield with 3 assists and a rising form trend
门将
Yvon Mvogo guards the net for Lorient with a season average rating of 6.83
Mathys Niflore starts in goal for Toulouse
Lorient have kept 7 clean sheets this season, compared to Toulouse's 9 clean sheets
影响因素
The match will be played on artificial turf
Historical venue stats show an average of 2.8 goals per match at this stadium
The mathematical model predicts 1.43 goals for Lorient and 1.00 for Toulouse