Ligue 1
Auxerre - Nice
09/12/2026, 06:45 PM
预期进球
1.5
2.5
1.0
1:1
14%1:0
10%0:0
10%2:1
9%2:0
9%xG 分解
Auxerre
Nice
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
45%
平局
30%
客胜
25%
进球数
Over 1.5
73%
Under 1.5
27%
Over 2.5
45%
Under 2.5
55%
Over 3.5
24%
Under 3.5
76%
双重机会
主胜或平局
75%
客胜或平局
55%
非平局
70%
双方进球
是
51%
否
49%
关键因素
- Only 41% of Auxerre's goal threat is available, with Sinaly Diomandé, Naouirou Ahamada, and Romain Faivre missing
- Only 46% of Nice's goal threat is available, with Sofiane Diop and Melvin Bard not in the lineup
- Nice averaged only 2.2 shots on target in recent matches
风险因素
- Nice concede an average of 1.94 goals per away match
- Nice's goal production is stalling at 0.5 goals recently compared to their season average of 1.1
- Auxerre conceded an average of 2.4 goals per match in recent games
概述
Auxerre (18th place, 0 points) host Nice (15th place, 2 points) at Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps
Ligue 1 match on September 12, 2026, 8:45 PM
The mathematical model calculates a 45% home win probability and 1.46 expected goals for Auxerre
近期状态
Auxerre have lost their last three league matches
Form across all competitions: WDLLL
Nice are also still waiting for their first league win of the season
Form across all competitions: LLDLD
统计数据
Auxerre scored an average of 1.00 goal and conceded 1.29 goals per match over 34 games
Nice scored an average of 1.09 goals and conceded 1.94 goals per away match
Auxerre's home matches have averaged 2.8 goals per game
历史交锋
A balanced history with 2 home wins for Auxerre, 1 away win for Nice, and 1 draw
The last head-to-head match on May 10, 2026, ended in a 2-1 victory for Auxerre
A total of 12 goals were scored in the last 4 meetings, shared equally between the teams (6-6)
关键球员
Danny Namaso (3 goals, 3 assists, 6.78 rating) is in stable form
Kévin Danois (3 goals, 1 assist, 7.08 rating) performs well in midfield
Lamine Sy (1 goal in the last 5 matches) shows a declining form trend
Jonathan Clauss (1 goal, 6 assists, 7.12 rating) remains a key performer
Elye Wahi (5 goals, 1 assist, 6.67 rating) remains stable in attack
Djibril Coulibaly (2 appearances, 6.58 rating) anchors the defensive midfield
门将
Mamadou Diop starts in goal for Auxerre (averaging 6.47 in home matches)
Nice field Yehvann Diouf, who has a declining form trend (6.41 over the last 5 matches)
影响因素
Home advantage for Auxerre with 7 clean sheets in their own stadium
The match will be played on natural grass at the Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps
Nice conceded an average of nearly two goals (1.94) per away game this season