Ligue 1
LOSC Lille - Troyes
09/13/2026, 01:00 PM
预期进球
1.7
2.7
1.0
1:1
13%2:1
10%2:0
9%1:2
6%3:1
5%xG 分解
LOSC Lille
Troyes
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
50%
平局
27%
客胜
22%
进球数
Over 1.5
77%
Under 1.5
23%
Over 2.5
51%
Under 2.5
49%
Over 3.5
29%
Under 3.5
71%
双重机会
主胜或平局
78%
客胜或平局
50%
非平局
73%
双方进球
是
54%
否
46%
关键因素
- Tactical advantage: Lille averaged 5.4 shots on target in recent matches, facing a Troyes defense conceding 2.33 goals on average
- Efficiency boost: Lille currently score more frequently (2.0 goals) than their season average (1.5 goals)
- Model prediction: The mathematical analysis calculates a home win for Lille with a probability of 50%
风险因素
- Olivier Giroud, Ethan Mbappé, and Benjamin André are missing, with only 61% of goal threat available
- Visitors' low shot count: Troyes averaged only 3.3 shots on target in recent matches
- Limited data availability on away player form
概述
Lille (5th place, 7 points) host Troyes (10th place, 4 points) at Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Ligue 1 match on September 13, 2026, 3:00 PM
The home side enter as favorites
近期状态
Lille show a form of WWDWL with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss
Their most recent match ended in a defeat
Troyes have a form of DWL with 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Lille score an average of 1.53 goals and concede 1.09 per season
At home Lille average 1.5 goals scored per match
Troyes score an average of 1.33 goals while conceding 2.33
Lille currently score more frequently (2.0) than their season average (1.5)
关键球员
Hákon Arnar Haraldsson shines in midfield with 8 goals and a season rating of 7.07
Defender Romain Perraud contributed 3 goals and 4 assists with a rating of 7.04
Nabil Bentaleb anchors the midfield with 2 goals and 2 assists, rated 6.89
门将
Berke Özer plays in goal for Lille and has achieved 13 clean sheets this season
Patrick Beach starts in goal for Troyes, whose defense has recorded 1 clean sheet
影响因素
The game is played on natural grass at Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Stadium statistics show a high average of 3.4 goals per match
Both teams scored in 80% of matches at Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Lille average 1.5 goals scored in their home stadium