Ligue 1
Brest - Paris Saint Germain
09/13/2026, 06:45 PM
预期进球
1.0
2.6
1.6
1:1
13%0:2
10%1:2
10%2:1
6%0:3
5%xG 分解
Brest
Paris Saint Germain
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
21%
平局
28%
客胜
51%
进球数
Over 1.5
74%
Under 1.5
26%
Over 2.5
48%
Under 2.5
52%
Over 3.5
26%
Under 3.5
74%
双重机会
主胜或平局
49%
客胜或平局
79%
非平局
72%
双方进球
是
51%
否
49%
关键因素
- Mathematical away win predicted at 51% probability with 1.61 expected goals
- Historical dominance with 5 wins in 5 meetings and a 19:2 goal difference for Paris Saint Germain
- Paris Saint Germain dominated possession recently, averaging 71.4% and 7.4 shots on target
风险因素
- Fatigue factor: Paris Saint Germain has only 4 days of rest since their last match compared to 8 days for Brest
- Romain Del Castillo is missing for Brest, leaving only 83% of the regular starting lineup strength available
- Defensive instability for Brest, conceding an average of 2.4 goals recently compared to their season average of 1.66
概述
Brest hosts Paris Saint Germain at Stade Francis-Le Ble
Ligue 1 fixture on September 13, 2026, 8:45 PM
Brest sits in 7th place with 5 points, while Paris Saint Germain occupies 14th with 2 points
近期状态
Brest holds a form record of LLDDW after winning their last match
Paris Saint Germain features a form of DDDLW, also coming off a victory
Key: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Brest scores an average of 1.27 goals and concedes 1.05 at home
Paris Saint Germain averages 2.2 goals scored and 1.13 goals conceded away
Venue historical average stands at 4.4 goals per match with 100% BTTS rate
历史交锋
There are 5 head-to-head matches recorded
Paris Saint Germain won all 5 encounters with a total goal difference of 19:2
Their last meeting finished in a 0:1 victory for Paris Saint Germain
关键球员
Ludovic Ajorque is a key contributor for Brest with 8 goals and 9 assists
Ousmane Dembélé leads Paris Saint Germain with 10 goals and 7 assists
Vitinha commands the midfield with 7 assists and a 7.51 average rating
门将
Egil Selvik is in goal for Brest
Matvey Safonov has guarded the net for Paris Saint Germain over the last 5 matches
Brest kept 9 clean sheets this season, while Paris Saint Germain recorded 18
影响因素
Home advantage for Brest is backed by a solid 1.05 goals conceded average at home
Historic average at Stade Francis-Le Ble highlights high-scoring matches with 4.4 goals per game
The match takes place on a grass pitch