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Ligue 1

Monaco - Lens

09/18/2026, 06:45 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
Monaco
1.8
Total xG
3.2
Lens
1.4
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

2:1

9%

1:2

7%

2:0

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
MONLEN

Monaco

最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2球)
+0.04
Mamadou Coulibaly未进大名单 (3球, 3助攻)
Stanis Idumbo未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
23%进球产出缺失 (仅77%可用)

Lens

防守不足 (场均失1.1球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
-0.24
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.2球)
+0.05
Ismaëlo Ganiou替补席 (3球, 0助攻)
11%进球产出缺失 (仅92%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.6球 vs 总体2球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

47%

平局

26%

客胜

28%

进球数

Over 1.5

84%

Under 1.5

16%

Over 2.5

61%

Under 2.5

39%

Over 3.5

39%

Under 3.5

61%

双重机会

主胜或平局

72%

客胜或平局

53%

非平局

74%

双方进球

63%

37%

关键因素
  • Monaco enters as slight favorites, unbeaten with 4 wins in their last 5 matches
  • Lens averaged a strong 7.2 shots on target per match in recent games
  • Monaco must play without injured key performers Mamadou Coulibaly (3 goals, 3 assists) and Stanis Idumbo
风险因素
  • Lens conceded an average of 1.8 goals per match in recent games
  • Monaco's recent expected goals of 1.24 xG are below their season average of 1.63 xG
概述

Monaco (2nd place, 10 points) hosts Lens (10th place, 4 points) at Stade Louis II

Ligue 1 match on September 18, 2026, 8:45 PM

The home team aims to extend their unbeaten run and challenge for the top spot

近期状态

Monaco shows strong form of WWWWD with 4 wins in their last 5 matches

Most recently, they recorded a 1-1 draw against Strasbourg

Lens has a form of WLLWD with 2 wins and 2 losses

The visitors recently drew 2-2 against Le Mans

统计数据

Monaco scores an average of 1.76 goals per game this season and concedes 1.59

At home, the team averages 1.74 goals scored and 1.21 conceded

Lens averages 1.94 goals scored and 1.38 goals conceded on the road

Throughout the season, the visitors maintain an average of 1.94 goals scored

历史交锋

4 head-to-head matches in recent years

Lens celebrated 2 wins, Monaco won 1 game with 1 draw

The last direct encounter ended 3-2 for Monaco on February 21, 2026

In total, Lens scored 11 goals in these matches, while Monaco scored 5

关键球员

Paris Brunner impresses with 4 goals in his last 5 games and a rating of 7.23

Aleksandr Golovin recently contributed 1 goal and 2 assists

Lamine Camara shows a rising form trend with a rating of 7.48

For the visitors, Florian Thauvin shines with 11 goals and 6 assists this season

门将

Lukas Hradecky kept 5 clean sheets for Monaco this season

On the other side, Robin Risser has 4 clean sheets in away games for Lens

Both goalkeepers display stable performances

影响因素

The game will be played on natural grass at Stade Louis II

The historical home record shows an average of 3.0 goals per game at Stade Louis II

Monaco benefits from home advantage with 1.74 goals scored on average

The mathematical model predicts 1.80 home goals and 1.36 away goals

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