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Ligue 1

Le Mans - Lorient

09/19/2026, 06:45 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
Le Mans
1.1
Total xG
2.5
Lorient
1.4
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

0:1

10%

0:0

10%

1:2

9%

0:2

8%
xG 分解
LMLOR

Le Mans

防守不足 (场均失2球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
+0.58
小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
-0.55
全员可用

Lorient

最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.12
Théo Le Bris替补席 (2球, 2助攻)
24%进球产出缺失 (仅82%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1球 vs 总体1.4球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

27%

平局

30%

客胜

43%

进球数

Over 1.5

72%

Under 1.5

28%

Over 2.5

45%

Under 2.5

55%

Over 3.5

24%

Under 3.5

76%

双重机会

主胜或平局

57%

客胜或平局

73%

非平局

70%

双方进球

51%

49%

关键因素
  • Attacking consistency: Le Mans score an average of 1.75 goals per game
  • Tactical style: Le Mans recently focused on counter-attacks, averaging 45% possession and 4.2 shots on target
  • Squad impact: Théo Le Bris is missing from Lorient's lineup (2 goals, 2 assists)
风险因素
  • Lorient concede an average of 2.17 goals per away game
  • Defensive issues for Le Mans with an average of 2.00 goals conceded per match
  • Limited historical head-to-head data available
概述

Le Mans (14th place, 3 points) host Lorient (9th place, 5 points) at Stade de La Pincenardière

Ligue 1 match on September 19, 2026, 6:45 PM

The home team is still searching for their first league win

近期状态

Le Mans with form DLDD (0 wins, 3 draws, 1 loss)

Lorient with form DDLWD (1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss)

Recently Le Mans drew 2-2 with Lens and Lorient drew 2-2 with Toulouse

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Le Mans scores an average of 1.75 goals and concedes 2.00 goals per match

Lorient average 1.41 goals scored per game this season

All 4 of Le Mans' league games ended with both teams scoring

关键球员

Louis Mafouta averages a 7.22 rating at Stade de La Pincenardière

Adil Ali Mohamed Bourabaa records a 7.20 home rating with 1 goal and 2 assists

Jean-Victor Makengo has scored 4 goals for Lorient this season

门将

Nicolas Kocik guards the goal for Le Mans with an average rating of 7.16

Yvon Mvogo starts for Lorient with a season rating of 6.83

Le Mans are yet to record a clean sheet this season

影响因素

The match will be played on artificial turf

Le Mans have recorded 2 draws on this surface

Lorient have a historical record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses on artificial turf

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