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Ligue 1

Nice - LOSC Lille

09/20/2026, 03:15 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
Nice
1.0
Total xG
2.5
LOSC Lille
1.6
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

0:2

10%

1:2

9%

2:1

6%

0:3

5%
xG 分解
NICLL

Nice

防守不足 (场均失2球 vs 联赛平均1.6球)
+0.43
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.76倍)
-0.38
排名劣势 (第16位 vs 第3位, 相差13位)
-0.32
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.4球)
-0.19
状态下滑 (0.5 vs 1 赛季平均)
-0.16
Sofiane Diop替补席 (8球, 3助攻)
Melvin Bard 未进大名单 (2球, 1助攻)
53%进球产出缺失 (仅54%可用)
主场表现强势 (场均1.3球 vs 总体1球)

LOSC Lille

最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
排名优势 (第3位 vs 第16位, 相差13位)
+0.10
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
+0.07
Olivier Giroud替补席 (7球, 1助攻)
16%进球产出缺失 (仅89%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.8球)
+0.34
+0.34
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

21%

平局

28%

客胜

51%

进球数

Over 1.5

74%

Under 1.5

26%

Over 2.5

47%

Under 2.5

53%

Over 3.5

25%

Under 3.5

75%

双重机会

主胜或平局

49%

客胜或平局

79%

非平局

72%

双方进球

51%

49%

关键因素
  • Extreme loss of quality for Nice: Only 55% of goal threat available with Sofiane Diop and Melvin Bard not in the squad
  • Tactical superiority: Lille recently averaged 5.2 shots on target per match compared to only 2.8 for Nice
  • Statistical projection: The model calculates a 51% probability of an away win for Lille
风险因素
  • Nice's goal production is currently stalling, with only 0.5 goals per match recently compared to a season average of 1.0
  • Nice showed limited offensive threat recently, averaging only 2.8 shots on target per match
  • Restricted data availability regarding weather conditions
概述

Nice host LOSC Lille at the Allianz Riviera

Ligue 1 match on September 20, 2026, 5:15 PM

Nice are in 18th place with 2 points

LOSC Lille are in 4th place with 10 points

近期状态

Nice form is LDLDL

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses in the last games

LOSC Lille form is WDWLW

3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss recently

统计数据

Nice average 1.09 goals scored and 1.76 goals conceded this season

LOSC Lille average 1.53 goals scored and 1.09 goals conceded per game

At home, Nice scored 19 goals in 17 games

Lille scored 28 goals in 18 away games

历史交锋

4 head-to-head matches in total

1 win for Nice, 1 win for LOSC Lille, and 2 draws

Goal record of 5 to 4 in favor of Nice

The last match ended in a 0:0 draw

关键球员

Jonathan Clauss with 1 goal and 6 assists this season

Elye Wahi has 5 goals this season for Nice

Håkon Arnar Haraldsson scored 8 goals for Lille

门将

Yehvann Diouf in goal for Nice with 6 clean sheets this season

Berke Özer with 32 appearances and 13 clean sheets for Lille

影响因素

Allianz Riviera matches average 1.2 goals per game

Both teams scored in 60% of the games at this venue

Lille had 7 days of rest, while Nice had 8 days

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