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Ligue 1

Auxerre - Brest

09/20/2026, 01:00 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
Auxerre
1.3
Total xG
2.6
Brest
1.3
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:2

8%

2:1

8%

0:2

6%

2:0

6%
xG 分解
AUXBRE

Auxerre

最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
+0.06
Sinaly Diomandé替补席 (2球, 2助攻)
Naouirou Ahamada替补席 (0球, 2助攻)
Romain Faivre替补席 (0球, 2助攻)
41%进球产出缺失 (仅52%可用)
主场表现强势 (场均1.3球 vs 总体1球)

Brest

最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
+0.11
状态上升 (1.8 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
+0.11
Romain Del Castillo未进大名单 (9球, 3助攻)
27%进球产出缺失 (仅81%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1球 vs 总体1.4球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.8球)
+0.34
+0.34
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

34%

平局

30%

客胜

36%

进球数

Over 1.5

75%

Under 1.5

25%

Over 2.5

48%

Under 2.5

52%

Over 3.5

26%

Under 3.5

74%

双重机会

主胜或平局

64%

客胜或平局

66%

非平局

70%

双方进球

是

54%

否

46%

关键因素
  • Critical squad impact for Auxerre: Only 53% of regular starting goals available, with Sinaly Diomandé, Naouirou Ahamada, and Romain Faivre missing
  • Brest showed high offensive output recently, averaging 6.4 shots on target in recent matches
  • Auxerre are currently scoring more frequently (1.2) than their season average of 1.0
风险因素
  • Defensive vulnerability: Brest concede an average of 2.67 goals per away game
  • Limited data availability regarding weather conditions
概述

Auxerre host Brest at Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps

Ligue 1 match on September 20, 2026, 3:00 PM

Auxerre are in 16th place with 3 points

Brest sit in 9th place with 5 points

近期状态

Auxerre form: DLLLW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Auxerre recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses recently

Brest form: LDDWL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Brest registered 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses recently

统计数据

Auxerre score 1.00 goal and concede 1.29 goals per match on average

At home, Auxerre average 1.00 goal scored and 0.94 goals conceded

Brest average 1.26 goals scored and 1.62 goals conceded per match

The mathematical model estimates a 34% probability for a home win and 36% for an away win

历史交锋

There have been 4 head-to-head matches

Auxerre secured 2 wins, Brest won 1 match, and 1 ended in a draw

The overall goal difference is 8:4 in favor of Auxerre

The last direct encounter ended in a 3:0 home win for Auxerre

关键球员

Danny Namaso scored 3 goals and provided 3 assists this season

Kévin Danois has 3 goals and 1 assist so far

Kamory Doumbia stands out with 5 goals and 4 assists

Ludovic Ajorque registered 8 goals and 9 assists this season

门将

Mamadou Diop is expected to start for Auxerre

Egil Selvik plays as goalkeeper for Brest

Both teams have achieved 9 clean sheets this season

影响因素

The match will be played on natural grass

Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps averages 2.4 goals per game

Both teams scored in 60% of matches played at this venue

Auxerre had 8 days of rest before this match, while Brest had 7 days of rest

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