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Ligue 1

Toulouse - Le Havre

09/19/2026, 06:45 PM

3 : 2
预期进球
Toulouse
1.8
Total xG
2.8
Le Havre
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

2:0

10%

2:1

10%

3:0

6%

3:1

6%
xG 分解
TOULH

Toulouse

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.25倍)
+0.69
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.13
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
-0.13
防守实力 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
-0.02
Yann Gboho未进大名单 (8球, 5助攻)
Santiago Hidalgo替补席 (4球, 6助攻)
74%进球产出缺失 (仅29%可用)

Le Havre

最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.11
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1 赛季平均)
-0.06
Rassoul Ndiaye替补席 (4球, 4助攻)
66%进球产出缺失 (仅24%可用)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

57%

平局

25%

客胜

17%

进球数

Over 1.5

78%

Under 1.5

22%

Over 2.5

53%

Under 2.5

47%

Over 3.5

31%

Under 3.5

69%

双重机会

主胜或平局

83%

客胜或平局

43%

非平局

75%

双方进球

53%

47%

关键因素
  • Only 30% of goal threat available for Toulouse, as Yann Gboho and Santiago Hidalgo are not in the lineup
  • Only 25% of goal threat available for Le Havre, as Rassoul Ndiaye is not in the lineup
  • Toulouse recently averaged 3.8 shots on target per match in past games
风险因素
  • Away weakness: Le Havre concede an average of 2.0 goals per away match
  • Both teams are in a form crisis and are winless in their last 5 matches
  • According to advancedStats, both teams show struggling goal production compared to their season average
概述

Toulouse host Le Havre at Stadium de Toulouse

Ligue 1 match on September 19, 2026, 8:45 PM

A direct bottom-of-the-table clash between 17th and 16th place

Both teams are under pressure with 2 points each

近期状态

Toulouse are waiting for their first win with a form of LLDLD

Le Havre show a similarly winless run of DLDLD

Neither team has managed a single victory in their last five matches

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Toulouse scored an average of 1.42 goals per game this season

Le Havre face severe defensive issues away from home, conceding an average of 2.0 goals per away match

The visitors score an average of only 0.94 goals per game

Toulouse kept 9 clean sheets so far this season

历史交锋

Two wins for Toulouse, one win for Le Havre, and one draw in their last four meetings

The last direct clash ended in a 2-1 victory for Le Havre

Toulouse scored a total of 7 goals in these matches, while Le Havre scored 3 goals

关键球员

Cristian Cásseres Jr. impresses in midfield with a rating of 7.09 alongside 2 goals and 3 assists

Jacen Russell-Rowe contributes 1 goal in attack with a rating of 6.57

Rafik Messali stabilizes the center with a rating of 6.67

For the visitors, Issa Soumaré stands out with 8 goals, 5 assists, and a rating of 7.1

Simon Ebonog contributes 1 league goal in midfield with a rating of 6.61

Mory Diaw shines in goal with an average rating of 6.95

门将

Guillaume Restes guards the Toulouse goal and kept 9 clean sheets this season

Gauthier Gallon starts in goal for Le Havre to stabilize the defense

Statistically, Toulouse recorded more clean sheets this season

影响因素

Toulouse scored 25 goals and conceded 24 in 18 home matches

Le Havre recorded only 12 goals while conceding 26 in 13 away games

The stadium trend shows an average of 2.8 goals per game

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