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Ligue 1

Olympique Marseille - Paris Saint Germain

09/20/2026, 06:45 PM

1 : 2
预期进球
Olympique Marseille
1.3
Total xG
2.6
Paris Saint Germain
1.3
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

2:1

8%

1:2

8%

2:0

7%

0:2

6%
xG 分解
OMPSG

Olympique Marseille

最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.11
状态下滑 (1.4 vs 1.8 赛季平均)
-0.11
防守实力 (场均失1.5球 vs 联赛平均1.6球)
-0.08
Angel Gomes替补席 (3球, 0助攻)

Paris Saint Germain

防守实力 (场均失1.1球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
-0.17
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.4球)
-0.02
Achraf Hakimi未进大名单 (2球, 2助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.7球 vs 总体2.5球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.8球)
+0.34
+0.34
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

37%

平局

30%

客胜

33%

进球数

Over 1.5

75%

Under 1.5

25%

Over 2.5

48%

Under 2.5

52%

Over 3.5

27%

Under 3.5

73%

双重机会

主胜或平局

67%

客胜或平局

63%

非平局

70%

双方进球

是

55%

否

45%

关键因素
  • Tactical advantage: PSG averaged 8.0 shots on target in recent matches compared to 4.6 for Marseille
  • Rest factor: Paris Saint Germain has 7 days of rest while Marseille only had 3 days since their last game
  • Historical dominance: Paris Saint Germain won 3 of the last 4 direct matches including the most recent 5:0 victory
风险因素
  • Fatigue for Olympique Marseille with only 3 days of recovery since their last game
  • Defensive struggles for Marseille with an average of 2.0 goals conceded in recent games
  • Limited data on weather conditions
概述

Olympique Marseille (16th place, 3 points) host Paris Saint Germain (10th place, 5 points) at the Stade Vélodrome

Ligue 1 match on September 20, 2026, 8:45 PM

The home team aims to climb out of the bottom of the table

近期状态

Marseille's form is WLLLL with 1 win and 4 losses

Paris Saint Germain's form is DDLWW with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss

Explanation of form codes: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Marseille averages 1.85 goals scored and 1.32 goals conceded per match

PSG averages 2.18 goals scored and 0.85 goals conceded

At home, Marseille scores 1.86 goals per game

历史交锋

4 head-to-head matches in total

1 win for Olympique Marseille and 3 wins for Paris Saint Germain

The last match ended in a 0:5 victory for Paris Saint Germain on February 8, 2026

关键球员

Amine Gouiri recently scored 4 goals in 5 matches with a 7.42 rating

Vitinha shines in midfield with a 7.78 recent rating

Ousmane Dembélé has 10 season goals and a 7.18 rating

Not nominated: Angel Gomes (3 goals, 0 assists) and Achraf Hakimi (2 goals, 2 assists)

门将

Jeffrey de Lange starts for Marseille with a 6.51 rating

Matvey Safonov defends PSG's goal with 18 clean sheets this season

影响因素

Marseille has only 3 days of rest since their last match

PSG arrives with 7 days of recovery

Stade Vélodrome features a grass pitch and averages 3.8 goals per game

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