Premier League
Nottingham Forest - Liverpool
02/22/2026, 02:00 PM
预期进球
1.0
3.3
2.3
0:2
10%1:2
10%1:1
9%0:3
8%1:3
8%模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
13%
平局
20%
客胜
66%
进球数
Over 1.5
86%
Under 1.5
14%
Over 2.5
65%
Under 2.5
35%
Over 3.5
43%
Under 3.5
57%
双重机会
主胜或平局
34%
客胜或平局
87%
非平局
80%
双方进球
是
58%
否
42%
关键因素
- Difference in offensive quality: Liverpool's attack (season average 1.58 goals) meets one of the league's weakest offenses (Nottingham 0.96 goals)
- Clear form advantage: Liverpool has won 4 of their last 5 games, while Nottingham Forest shows inconsistent form
- Goalkeeper situation: Liverpool has a clear advantage with Alisson, as Nottingham's first-choice keeper M. Sels is injured and replaced by the inexperienced S. Ortega
风险因素
- Historical record: Nottingham Forest has a surprisingly balanced record in recent head-to-head matches and even won the last game 3-0
- Short recovery time: Nottingham Forest has had only 3 days of rest since their last match, which could lead to fatigue
- Home weakness: The home team scores less than one goal per home game on average (0.93), increasing pressure on the defense
概述
Nottingham Forest, in 17th place with 27 points, hosts Liverpool, 6th with 42 points, at The City Ground
The Premier League match takes place on February 22, 2026, at 3:00 PM
The hosts are fighting for crucial points against relegation, while Liverpool has its sights on the European spots
Mathematical analysis clearly favors the visitors with a 66% win probability
近期状态
Nottingham Forest form: WDLDW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
In the last 5 matches, there have been 2 wins, 2 draws, and one loss
Liverpool form: WWLWW
Liverpool is in strong form with 4 wins from their last 5 games
统计数据
Nottingham Forest scores an average of 0.96 goals per game this season and concedes 1.46
Liverpool is stronger offensively with an average of 1.58 goals scored, but also concedes 1.35 goals
Liverpool's defense is particularly vulnerable away from home (1.62 goals conceded per game)
In 16 of Liverpool's 26 games, both teams scored, compared to 10 of 26 for Nottingham
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head encounters, the record is balanced with 2 wins each for Nottingham Forest and Liverpool, and one draw
The goal difference is also even at 5:5
Nottingham Forest won the last meeting 3-0
关键球员
Morgan Gibbs-White is Nottingham Forest's most dangerous player with 6 season goals and 2 assists
Igor Jesus has shown good form recently with 3 goals in his last 5 appearances
Callum Hudson-Odoi has contributed 3 goals and 1 assist this season
Hugo Ekitiké is Liverpool's top scorer with 10 season goals
Mohamed Salah is a key playmaker with 6 assists and 4 goals of his own
Cody Gakpo also has 5 goals and 3 assists to his name
门将
Due to the injury of first-choice goalkeeper Matz Sels, Stefan Ortega, who has made 2 appearances this season, is expected to be in goal for Nottingham
For Liverpool, the regular number one, Alisson, will be between the posts, having kept 8 clean sheets this season
影响因素
Nottingham Forest has a slight home advantage but scores an average of only 0.93 goals per game at the City Ground
The last five matches at this stadium have been very low-scoring, with an average of just 1.6 goals per game
In only one of these five home games did both teams score