Premier League
Fulham - Tottenham Hotspur
03/01/2026, 02:00 PM
预期进球
1.7
3.1
1.3
1:1
12%2:1
9%1:2
7%2:0
7%2:2
6%xG 分解
Fulham
Tottenham Hotspur
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
46%
平局
26%
客胜
28%
进球数
Over 1.5
82%
Under 1.5
18%
Over 2.5
59%
Under 2.5
41%
Over 3.5
36%
Under 3.5
64%
双重机会
主胜或平局
72%
客胜或平局
54%
非平局
74%
双方进球
是
62%
否
38%
关键因素
- Contrasting form: Fulham's two consecutive wins are in stark contrast to Tottenham's three straight losses, giving the home side a psychological advantage
- Home strength and H2H dominance: Fulham is very stable defensively at home (only 1.00 goals conceded/game) and has won 3 of the last 5 head-to-head matches
- Clear mathematical prediction: The prediction model sees Fulham as the winner with a 46% probability, compared to just 28% for Tottenham
风险因素
- Tottenham's weakened squad: Key players like Cristian Romero and Mohammed Kudus are missing, leaving only about 68% of this season's goal contributions available on the pitch
- Recent defensive frailties: Both teams have shown defensive issues lately, conceding an average of 2.0 goals per game in their recent matches, which is above their season average
概述
Fulham (10th place, 37 points) host Tottenham Hotspur (16th place, 29 points) at Craven Cottage
Premier League match on March 1, 2026, 2:00 PM
Fulham aims to solidify a mid-table position, while Spurs urgently need points to fight relegation
近期状态
Fulham's form: LLLWW
After three consecutive losses, Fulham has won their last two matches
From the last 5 games, the team has 2 wins and 3 losses
Tottenham's form: WDLLL
Spurs are in a form crisis with three consecutive defeats
Their record from the last 5 matches is 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
统计数据
Both teams are almost identical offensively, with a season average of 1.41 goals per game for Fulham and 1.37 for Tottenham
Defensively, the overall stats are also the same with 1.52 goals conceded per game
A key difference is Fulham's home strength: they concede only 1.00 goals per game at Craven Cottage
The last 5 games at Craven Cottage have been high-scoring, with an average of 3.4 goals per game and both teams scoring in every match
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head encounters, Fulham has a clearly positive record
Fulham won 3 times, with 1 draw and 1 loss
The goal difference is 8:4 in favor of Fulham
Fulham won the last meeting 2-1
关键球员
Harry Wilson has been directly involved in 13 goals this season (8 goals, 5 assists)
Raúl Jiménez is also a key scorer for Fulham with 8 goals
Emile Smith Rowe has contributed 3 goals so far this season
For Tottenham, defender Micky van de Ven is surprisingly prolific with 4 goals
Xavi Simons has stood out as a creative force with 4 assists
Dominic Solanke has already scored 2 goals in his few appearances and has shown good recent form
门将
In goal for Fulham is Bernd Leno, who has kept 5 clean sheets this season
Tottenham's goalkeeper is Guglielmo Vicario, who has achieved 7 clean sheets so far
Both goalkeepers have played 27 matches this season
影响因素
Fulham benefits from a clear home advantage, especially in defense (only 1.00 goals conceded/game at home)
Craven Cottage has recently been a venue for high-scoring matches, with an average of 3.4 goals in the last 5 home games
In all of these 5 games, both teams scored and there were always over 2.5 goals