Premier League
Newcastle United - Everton
02/28/2026, 03:00 PM
预期进球
2.2
3.5
1.4
2:1
9%3:1
7%2:2
6%1:2
6%3:0
5%xG 分解
Newcastle United
Everton
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
55%
平局
23%
客胜
23%
进球数
Over 1.5
88%
Under 1.5
12%
Over 2.5
68%
Under 2.5
32%
Over 3.5
47%
Under 3.5
53%
双重机会
主胜或平局
77%
客胜或平局
45%
非平局
77%
双方进球
是
67%
否
33%
关键因素
- Stark form contrast: Newcastle has won four of its last five games, while Everton arrives with two consecutive losses
- Surging offense vs. defensive fortress: Newcastle's attack recently averaged 3.0 goals per game but faces Everton's strong away defense (only 1.0 goals conceded per game)
- Major midfield absence: Newcastle must cope without their key player Bruno Guimarães (9 goals, 4 assists), which is a significant weakening
风险因素
- Newcastle's defensive vulnerability: Conceding an average of 1.44 goals per game, Newcastle's defense consistently offers opportunities to opponents
- Long injury list for Newcastle: Besides Guimarães, other key defensive players like Botman and Schär are missing, which could affect defensive stability
- Historical advantage for Everton: In recent history, Everton has often had the upper hand in head-to-head encounters (2 wins in 5 games)
概述
Newcastle United (11th place, 36 points) host Everton (9th place, 37 points) at St. James' Park
Premier League clash on February 28, 2026, 3:00 PM
A tight mid-table duel with only one point separating the teams
The mathematical analysis favors the home team with a 55% probability of winning
近期状态
Newcastle United are in impressive form with a record of WWWLW from their last five games, which corresponds to four wins and one loss
Everton, on the other hand, are struggling with their form, with a record of DDWLL, including two consecutive losses
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Newcastle has a slightly stronger offense with 1.41 goals per game compared to Everton's 1.07
Defensively, Everton is more stable, conceding an average of 1.15 goals per game, while Newcastle is at 1.44
Everton's defense is particularly strong away from home, allowing only 1.00 goals on average
Newcastle scores an average of 1.41 goals per game at home
历史交锋
In the last five direct encounters, Everton has a slight edge with two wins, while Newcastle United won once and two matches ended in a draw
The goal difference is also narrow at 6:5 in favor of Everton
However, Newcastle won the last meeting clearly with a 4-1 scoreline
关键球员
For Newcastle, Nick Woltemade is a key offensive player with 7 goals this season
He is supported by Anthony Gordon (3 goals, 2 assists) and the goal-scoring defender Malick Thiaw (4 goals)
Key midfielder Bruno Guimarães is not nominated
For Everton, Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall and Iliman Ndiaye are the top scorers with 5 goals each
James Garner is a crucial playmaker with 3 assists
Forward Jack Grealish is not in the squad
门将
The goalkeeping duel is between Nick Pope for Newcastle and Jordan Pickford for Everton
Pope has kept 7 clean sheets this season
Pickford has 9 clean sheets in the current season
影响因素
St. James' Park has recently been the scene of high-scoring matches, with an average of 4.2 goals in the last five games
More than 2.5 goals were scored in 80% of these matches
Newcastle is strong at home, scoring 1.41 goals per home game, but faces Everton's very solid away defense, which concedes only one goal on average