Premier League
Manchester United - Crystal Palace
03/01/2026, 02:00 PM
预期进球
1.4
2.6
1.2
1:1
14%2:1
9%1:2
8%2:0
7%0:2
6%xG 分解
Manchester United
Crystal Palace
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
38%
平局
30%
客胜
32%
进球数
Over 1.5
75%
Under 1.5
25%
Over 2.5
48%
Under 2.5
52%
Over 3.5
26%
Under 3.5
74%
双重机会
主胜或平局
68%
客胜或平局
62%
非平局
70%
双方进球
是
54%
否
46%
关键因素
- Form and League Position: Manchester United's excellent form (unbeaten in 5 games) and 4th place create a clear advantage over mid-table Crystal Palace.
- Home Strength: United is very strong offensively at Old Trafford, averaging 1.79 goals per game and holding a positive record.
- Improved Attack: Recent match data shows Manchester United has increased its scoring average to 2.0 per game, indicating growing offensive power.
风险因素
- Key Absences for Crystal Palace: The absence of top scorer Jean-Philippe Mateta (8 season goals) reduces their available goal threat to just 55%.
- Potential Fatigue: Crystal Palace has had only three days of rest since their last match, which could be a factor in their performance.
- Head-to-Head Favors the Visitors: Crystal Palace has won three of the last five encounters against Manchester United, suggesting they are a potentially awkward opponent.
概述
Manchester United (4th place, 48 points) host Crystal Palace (13th place, 35 points) at Old Trafford
Premier League match on March 1, 2026, 2:00 PM
Manchester United aim to solidify their spot in the top 4, while Crystal Palace is positioned in the mid-table
The mathematical analysis suggests a close game, with a slight advantage for the home team (38% win probability)
近期状态
Manchester United is in excellent form, being unbeaten in their last five games
Their form is: W, W, W, D, W (4 wins, 1 draw)
Crystal Palace also shows good form with three wins in their last five matches
Their form is: W, L, D, W, W (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss)
统计数据
Offensively, Manchester United is significantly stronger with an average of 1.78 goals per game compared to Crystal Palace (1.07)
Defensively, Crystal Palace is slightly more stable with 1.19 goals conceded per game than United (1.37)
United is particularly strong at home, scoring an average of 1.79 goals per game
Crystal Palace is very compact defensively away from home, conceding only an average of 1.00 goal
历史交锋
The head-to-head record of the last five games surprisingly favors the visitors
Crystal Palace won 3 of these encounters, Manchester United only 1, with one draw
The goal difference is 8:2 in favor of Crystal Palace
However, Manchester United won the most recent meeting 2-1
关键球员
For Manchester United, Bruno Fernandes (6 goals, 12 assists) and Bryan Mbeumo (9 goals, 3 assists) are the central figures in attack
Casemiro also contributes crucial goals and stability from midfield (5 goals, 2 assists)
For Crystal Palace, Ismaïla Sarr (5 goals, 1 assist) and new striker Jørgen Strand Larsen (2 goals) are key offensive players
Daniel Muñoz is also a key player as a goal-scoring defender (3 goals, 2 assists)
门将
In goal for Manchester United is Senne Lammens
The team has kept 5 clean sheets this season
For Crystal Palace, Dean Henderson is the goalkeeper
His team has already kept 10 clean sheets, indicating a strong defensive organization
影响因素
Old Trafford is a fortress for Manchester United, where they score an average of 1.79 goals per game
The last five home games have been entertaining with an average of 2.8 goals per game
In 3 of Manchester United's last 5 home matches, both teams have scored
Crystal Palace has proven to be very resilient away, conceding an average of just one goal per game