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Premier League

Liverpool - West Ham United

02/28/2026, 03:00 PM

5 : 2
预期进球
Liverpool
1.8
Total xG
2.5
West Ham United
0.7
最可能的比分

2:0

13%

1:1

12%

2:1

9%

3:0

8%

3:1

6%
xG 分解
LIVWHU

Liverpool

防守实力 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
-0.25
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
排名优势 (第5位 vs 第18位, 相差13位)
+0.11
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均2球)
+0.01
Florian Wirtz未进首发 (4球, 2助攻)

West Ham United

最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
排名劣势 (第18位 vs 第5位, 相差13位)
-0.11
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.01
Lucas Paquetá未进首发 (0球, 0助攻)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

61%

平局

25%

客胜

14%

进球数

Over 1.5

73%

Under 1.5

27%

Over 2.5

46%

Under 2.5

54%

Over 3.5

24%

Under 3.5

76%

双重机会

主胜或平局

87%

客胜或平局

39%

非平局

75%

双方进球

44%

56%

关键因素
  • League table gap: Liverpool (6th) is fighting for Europe, while West Ham (18th) is in a relegation battle
  • Home advantage and H2H dominance: Liverpool is very strong at home (only 1.0 goals conceded/game) and has won the last 4 encounters against West Ham
  • Strong form trend: Liverpool is on a 3-game winning streak, giving them significant confidence, supported by a 61% win probability from the model
风险因素
  • Liverpool's injury concerns: The absence of key players like midfielder Florian Wirtz (4 goals, 2 assists) could impact their attack
  • West Ham's resilience: The visitors are unbeaten in four games, showing they are resilient in the relegation battle
  • Improved visitor attack: West Ham is currently scoring more frequently (1.5 goals/game) than their season average (1.19)
概述

Liverpool (6th place, 45 points) host West Ham United (18th place, 25 points) at Anfield

Premier League match on February 28, 2026, 4:00 PM

Liverpool is fighting for a European spot, while West Ham is in a relegation battle

近期状态

Liverpool's form: WLWWW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

The team has won 4 of their last 5 matches and is on a 3-game winning streak

West Ham United's form: LWDWD

The visitors are unbeaten in their last four games, with 2 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 matches

统计数据

Liverpool scores an average of 1.56 goals per game (1.50 at home)

West Ham United averages 1.19 goals per game (1.15 away)

Defensively, Liverpool is more stable, conceding 1.30 goals per game, while West Ham concedes 1.81

The last 5 matches at Anfield have seen an average of 3.8 goals per game

历史交锋

In the last 5 head-to-head encounters, Liverpool has been clearly dominant

The home team won 4 times, with one draw and no losses

The goal difference is 16:4 in favor of Liverpool

Liverpool has won the last four meetings in a row

关键球员

For Liverpool, all eyes are on Hugo Ekitiké (10 season goals) and Mohamed Salah (6 season assists)

Dominik Szoboszlai is also in rising form with 4 goals and 2 assists

For West Ham, Jarrod Bowen is the most important attacker with 8 season goals

Crysencio Summerville (4 goals) and Mateus Fernandes (3 goals, 3 assists) are other key players for the visitors

门将

In goal for Liverpool is Alisson, who has kept 9 clean sheets this season

Mads Hermansen is expected in goal for West Ham

West Ham as a team has kept a total of 3 clean sheets this season

影响因素

Liverpool enjoys a clear home advantage at Anfield, where they concede an average of only 1.0 goal per game

Recent matches at the stadium have been very high-scoring, with an average of 3.8 goals per match and an 80% Over 2.5 rate

This offensive strength at home could be a decisive factor

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