Premier League
Manchester City - Nottingham Forest
03/04/2026, 07:30 PM
预期进球
2.3
3.1
0.8
2:0
12%2:1
9%3:0
9%1:1
9%3:1
7%xG 分解
Manchester City
Nottingham Forest
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
71%
平局
19%
客胜
10%
进球数
Over 1.5
82%
Under 1.5
18%
Over 2.5
59%
Under 2.5
41%
Over 3.5
37%
Under 3.5
63%
双重机会
主胜或平局
90%
客胜或平局
29%
非平局
81%
双方进球
是
50%
否
50%
关键因素
- Difference in class: Second-placed Manchester City faces relegation candidate Nottingham Forest, establishing a clear favorite
- Form curve: City is on a roll with five consecutive wins, while Forest has a three-game losing streak
- Home strength vs. away weakness: City is a force at the Etihad Stadium (avg 2.0 goals scored, 0.53 conceded), while Forest is very vulnerable away (avg 1.57 goals conceded)
风险因素
- Potential fatigue for the visitors: Nottingham Forest has only had three days of rest since their last match, which could be a physical disadvantage
- Forest's offensive potential: Despite their poor league position, Nottingham Forest averages 5.4 shots on target per game, indicating they can create danger
概述
Manchester City (2nd place, 59 points) hosts Nottingham Forest (17th place, 27 points) at the Etihad Stadium
A clear clash between a title contender and a relegation candidate in the Premier League
The match takes place on March 4, 2026, at 8:30 PM
近期状态
Manchester City is in outstanding form with a five-game winning streak
Form: WWWWW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Nottingham Forest, on the other hand, is struggling with three consecutive losses
Form: DWLLL
In their last five games, Nottingham has managed only one win, one draw, and three defeats
统计数据
Manchester City has one of the strongest attacks in the league, averaging 2.04 goals per game
Nottingham Forest scores an average of only 0.93 goals per game
Defensively, City is also superior, conceding only 0.89 goals per game compared to Forest's 1.46
Manchester City is especially dominant at home: 2.0 goals scored with only 0.53 conceded on average
历史交锋
In the last five head-to-head encounters, Manchester City dominated with four wins, while Nottingham Forest won once
The goal difference of 9:2 is clearly in favor of Manchester City
The last meeting was won by Manchester City 2:1
关键球员
For Manchester City, Erling Haaland is the key man in attack with 22 season goals and 7 assists
He is supported by Phil Foden, who has already contributed 7 goals and 3 assists
For Nottingham Forest, Morgan Gibbs-White is the most dangerous player with 7 goals
门将
Manchester City's goalkeeper is Gianluigi Donnarumma, whose team has kept 12 clean sheets this season
For Nottingham Forest, Matz Sels is in goal; his team has achieved 6 clean sheets
影响因素
The Etihad Stadium is a fortress for Manchester City
At home, they average 2.0 goals scored and concede only 0.53
The stadium's stats show an average of 2.4 goals per game in recent matches