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Premier League

Tottenham Hotspur - Crystal Palace

03/05/2026, 08:00 PM

1 : 3
预期进球
Tottenham Hotspur
1.3
Total xG
3.0
Crystal Palace
1.8
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

1:2

9%

0:2

7%

2:1

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
THCP

Tottenham Hotspur

最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.18
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.6 赛季平均)
-0.18
防守不足 (场均失1.5球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
-0.03
Xavi Simons未进首发 (0球, 0助攻)

Crystal Palace

防守实力 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+0.05
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
+0.01
Maxence Lacroix未进首发 (1球, 2助攻)
Yéremy Pino未进首发 (0球, 0助攻)
Jefferson Lerma未进首发 (0球, 0助攻)
15%进球产出缺失 (仅85%可用)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

27%

平局

26%

客胜

47%

进球数

Over 1.5

82%

Under 1.5

18%

Over 2.5

58%

Under 2.5

42%

Over 3.5

36%

Under 3.5

64%

双重机会

主胜或平局

53%

客胜或平局

73%

非平局

74%

双方进球

61%

39%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis forecasts a 47% higher probability for an away win for Crystal Palace compared to a home win for Tottenham Hotspur (27%)
  • Tottenham Hotspur's goal production is currently stagnating (1.0 goals per game) and is below their season average (1.6 goals per game) according to Advanced Stats
  • Crystal Palace shows a solid defensive performance away from home, conceding an average of 1.07 goals
风险因素
  • Tottenham Hotspur has a long list of injured and suspended players, including key figures like C. Romero (Red Card Suspension) and J. Maddison (Cruciate Ligament Injury)
  • Tottenham Hotspur generates an average of only 3.0 shots on target per game, indicating limited offensive penetration
概述

Tottenham Hotspur (16th place, 29 points) host Crystal Palace (14th place, 35 points) at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on March 5, 2026, 8:00 PM.

This Premier League match sees Spurs fighting against relegation, while Crystal Palace are in mid-table.

近期状态

Tottenham's current form (all competitions) is "DLLLL", with 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses from 5 games.

Their last result was a 1-2 loss against Fulham.

Crystal Palace's form is "LDWWL", with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses from their last 5 games.

They last suffered a 1-2 defeat against Manchester United.

W=Win, D=Draw, L=Loss

统计数据

Tottenham averages 1.36 goals scored (1.31 at home) and 1.54 goals conceded (1.69 at home) per season.

Crystal Palace averages 1.07 goals scored (1.07 away) and 1.21 goals conceded (1.07 away).

The Tottenham Hotspur Stadium has seen an average of 3.4 goals per game.

Both teams scored in 80% of matches, and 80% ended with over 2.5 goals.

历史交锋

In 5 head-to-head matches: Tottenham has 3 wins, Crystal Palace 2, and 0 draws.

Tottenham scored 6 goals, Crystal Palace 5.

The last encounter on December 28, 2025, saw Tottenham win 1-0 away.

Tottenham has been the more dominant team in recent meetings.

关键球员

Tottenham: Dominic Solanke (2 goals, 0 assists), Micky van de Ven (4 goals, 1 assist), Pape Matar Sarr (2 goals, 3 assists).

Crystal Palace: Ismaïla Sarr (5 goals, 1 assist), Jørgen Strand Larsen (2 goals, 0 assists), Daniel Muñoz (3 goals, 2 assists).

门将

Tottenham goalkeeper Guglielmo Vicario has recorded 7 clean sheets this season.

Palace goalkeeper Dean Henderson has managed 10 clean sheets.

影响因素

The Tottenham Hotspur Stadium is known for averaging 3.4 goals per game.

Both teams scored in 80% of matches, and 80% ended with over 2.5 goals.

Tottenham scores 1.31 goals and concedes 1.69 goals at home.

Crystal Palace scores 1.07 goals and concedes 1.07 goals away.

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