Premier League
Newcastle United - Manchester United
03/04/2026, 08:15 PM
预期进球
1.3
2.9
1.6
1:1
13%1:2
9%2:1
7%0:2
7%2:2
6%xG 分解
Newcastle United
Manchester United
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
29%
平局
27%
客胜
43%
进球数
Over 1.5
80%
Under 1.5
20%
Over 2.5
56%
Under 2.5
44%
Over 3.5
33%
Under 3.5
67%
双重机会
主胜或平局
57%
客胜或平局
71%
非平局
73%
双方进球
是
60%
否
40%
关键因素
- Clear form advantage for Manchester United, who are unbeaten in 5 games, while Newcastle's form is inconsistent
- The absence of key player Bruno Guimarães (9 goals, 4 assists) is a major blow to Newcastle's midfield
- Both teams combine a strong attack with a vulnerable defense, suggesting goals are likely (BTTS probability 60%)
风险因素
- Manchester United's defense is weakened by numerous absences, including Lisandro Martínez and Matthijs de Ligt
- The visitors have had only 3 days of rest since their last match, which could lead to fatigue
- Newcastle has won 3 of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Manchester United
概述
Newcastle United (13th place, 36 points) host Manchester United (3rd place, 51 points) at St. James' Park
Premier League match on March 4, 2026, 9:15 PM
The visitors aim to solidify their spot in the top 3, while Newcastle is stuck in mid-table
近期状态
Newcastle United form: WWLWL
In the last 5 matches, there have been 3 wins and 2 losses
Most recently, a 2-3 loss against Everton
Manchester United form: WWDWW
Unbeaten in 5 matches with 4 wins and 1 draw
Currently on a 2-game winning streak
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
统计数据
Manchester United has a stronger attack, averaging 1.79 goals per game compared to Newcastle's 1.43
Both teams are defensively vulnerable; Newcastle concedes 1.50 goals per game, Manchester United 1.36
Away from home, Man Utd's defense is particularly weak, conceding 1.69 goals per game
Both teams scored in 18 of Newcastle's 28 games, and in 20 of Man Utd's 28 games
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head encounters, Newcastle United won 3 times, Manchester United 2 times
There were no draws
The goal difference is 9:5 in favor of Newcastle
The last meeting was won by Manchester United with a score of 1-0
关键球员
Harvey Barnes has scored 5 goals for Newcastle this season
Anthony Gordon has been directly involved in 5 goals (3 goals, 2 assists)
Defender Malick Thiaw has surprisingly contributed 4 goals this season
Bruno Fernandes is the key player for Manchester United with 7 goals and 13 assists
Bryan Mbeumo is an important attacker with 9 goals
Benjamin Sesko has also scored 8 goals
门将
In goal for Newcastle is Aaron Ramsdale
The team has kept 7 clean sheets this season
Senne Lammens is the goalkeeper for Manchester United
The team has kept a clean sheet in 5 matches this season
影响因素
At St. James' Park, there's an average of 4.0 total goals per game in recent matches
In 4 of the last 5 home games for Newcastle, there were over 2.5 goals
Manchester United is strong away, scoring an average of 1.77 goals per game
However, they also concede 1.69 goals per game on the road