Premier League
AFC Bournemouth - Brentford
03/03/2026, 07:30 PM
预期进球
1.8
3.1
1.3
1:1
12%2:1
9%1:2
7%2:0
7%2:2
6%xG 分解
AFC Bournemouth
Brentford
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
47%
平局
26%
客胜
27%
进球数
Over 1.5
84%
Under 1.5
16%
Over 2.5
61%
Under 2.5
39%
Over 3.5
39%
Under 3.5
61%
双重机会
主胜或平局
73%
客胜或平局
53%
非平局
74%
双方进球
是
63%
否
37%
关键因素
- Historical Dominance: Brentford has won all of the last five meetings against Bournemouth, showing clear superiority
- Defensive Contrast: Bournemouth's strong home defense (1.15 goals conceded/game) meets Brentford's vulnerable away defense (1.92 goals conceded/game)
- Unbeaten Streak: Bournemouth is unbeaten in its last five league games, indicating stable form and high confidence
风险因素
- Negative H2H Record: Bournemouth has lost all of the last five games against Brentford, which could be a psychological hurdle
- High Workload: Both teams have had only three days of rest since their last match, which could lead to fatigue
- Brentford's Away Weakness: With an average of 1.92 goals conceded per away game, Brentford's defense is a potential vulnerability
概述
AFC Bournemouth (10th place, 39 points) host Brentford (7th place, 43 points) at the Vitality Stadium
Premier League match on March 3, 2026, 8:30 PM
A mid-table clash where the hosts aim to close the points gap with a win
近期状态
Bournemouth are unbeaten in their last five matches with the form WDWDD (2 wins, 3 draws)
Brentford also show strong form with WDWLW (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss)
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Both teams have scored 44 goals this season (avg. 1.57 per game)
Defensively, Bournemouth are significantly more stable at home (1.15 goals conceded per game) than Brentford are away (1.92 goals conceded per game)
At the Vitality Stadium, an average of 3.8 goals were scored in the last five games, with both teams scoring in every match
历史交锋
In the last five head-to-head encounters, Brentford have been completely dominant, winning all five matches
The goal difference of 13:5 in favour of Brentford underlines this superiority
The last meeting ended in a clear 4-1 victory for Brentford
关键球员
For Bournemouth, Marcus Tavernier (5 goals, 4 assists) and Evanilson (6 goals) are key offensive players
For Brentford, Igor Thiago stands out as the clear top scorer with 18 goals this season, supported by Kevin Schade with 7 goals
门将
In goal for Bournemouth is Djordje Petrovic, his team has achieved 7 clean sheets this season
Brentford's goal is kept by Caoimhín Kelleher, his team has 6 clean sheets
影响因素
Bournemouth's home strength is a key factor, especially in defense with an average of only 1.15 goals conceded per home game
The Vitality Stadium has recently guaranteed high-scoring games, with an average of 3.8 goals and both teams scoring in the last five matches