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Premier League

Fulham - West Ham United

03/04/2026, 07:30 PM

0 : 1
预期进球
Fulham
1.9
Total xG
3.4
West Ham United
1.4
最可能的比分

1:1

11%

2:1

9%

1:2

7%

2:2

7%

2:0

6%
xG 分解
FULWHU

Fulham

排名优势 (第10位 vs 第18位, 相差8位)
+0.07
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
+0.03
Harry Wilson未进首发 (9球, 6助攻)
Ryan Sessegnon未进首发 (0球, 0助攻)
Emile Smith Rowe未进首发 (0球, 0助攻)
37%进球产出缺失 (仅65%可用)

West Ham United

防守不足 (场均失1.9球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+0.66
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.2倍)
+0.48
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
排名劣势 (第18位 vs 第10位, 相差8位)
-0.12
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.02
全员可用
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

48%

平局

24%

客胜

27%

进球数

Over 1.5

86%

Under 1.5

14%

Over 2.5

66%

Under 2.5

34%

Over 3.5

44%

Under 3.5

56%

双重机会

主胜或平局

73%

客胜或平局

52%

非平局

76%

双方进球

66%

34%

关键因素
  • Strong home advantage for Fulham, who concede only 1.0 goal per game at home, meets West Ham's extreme away weakness with 1.93 goals conceded per game
  • The form curve clearly favors Fulham, who come into the match with three consecutive wins, while West Ham lost their last game
  • The historical record favors Fulham, who won 3 of the last 5 duels with a goal difference of 11:4
风险因素
  • Fulham has to cope without important offensive players, leaving only 65% of their usual goal threat available
  • With only three days of rest since the last match, the short recovery time could be a factor for Fulham
概述

Fulham (10th place, 40 points) host West Ham United (18th place, 25 points) on March 4, 2026, 8:30 PM at Craven Cottage

It's a clash between a mid-table team and a relegation candidate

The mathematical analysis favors Fulham with a win probability of 48%

近期状态

Fulham's form across all competitions: LLWWW

This means 3 wins and 2 losses from the last five games

The team is on a clear upward trend with three consecutive wins

West Ham's form across all competitions: WDWDL

The visitors have won 2 of their last five games, with 2 draws and 1 loss

Their run recently ended with a defeat

(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

统计数据

Fulham scores an average of 1.43 goals per game this season and concedes 1.5

At home, they are more stable, conceding an average of just 1.0 goal

West Ham United has one of the weakest defenses in the league, conceding 1.93 goals per game, especially away (1.93)

In the last five games at Craven Cottage, there has been an average of 3.2 goals, with both teams scoring and over 2.5 goals in every match

历史交锋

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fulham was the more successful team

They managed to win 3 games, while West Ham won only once, and one match ended in a draw

The goal difference is clearly in Fulham's favor at 11:4

The last encounter was won by Fulham with a score of 1:0

关键球员

For Fulham, Raúl Jiménez (8 goals, 3 assists), Samuel Chukwueze (3 goals, 4 assists), and Alex Iwobi (4 goals, 3 assists) are the key players in attack

For West Ham, Jarrod Bowen (8 goals, 4 assists), Crysencio Summerville (4 goals, 1 assist), and Tomáš Souček (4 goals) are the most important goalscorers

门将

In goal for Fulham is Bernd Leno, who has kept 5 clean sheets this season

West Ham's goal will be defended by Mads Hermansen

The West Ham team has kept 3 clean sheets so far this season

影响因素

Fulham enjoys a clear home advantage, reflected in conceding only 1.0 goal per home game

West Ham's glaring away weakness, with 1.93 goals conceded per game, is a decisive factor

The statistics for Craven Cottage suggest a high-scoring game, as in the last five matches there, both teams have always scored and there have been over 2.5 goals

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