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Premier League

Arsenal - Everton

03/14/2026, 05:30 PM

2 : 0
预期进球
Arsenal
2.4
Total xG
3.2
Everton
0.8
最可能的比分

2:0

11%

2:1

10%

1:1

9%

3:0

9%

3:1

7%
xG 分解
ARSEVE

Arsenal

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.52倍)
+1.15
防守实力 (场均失0.7球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
-0.80
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2球)
-0.10
排名优势 (第1位 vs 第8位, 相差7位)
+0.08
Viktor Gyökeres替补席 (10球, 0助攻)
Gabriel Martinelli替补席 (1球, 2助攻)
Piero Hincapié替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
23%进球产出缺失 (仅85%可用)

Everton

最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
+0.10
状态上升 (1.6 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
+0.10
排名劣势 (第8位 vs 第1位, 相差7位)
-0.06
Thierno Barry替补席 (6球, 0助攻)
James Tarkowski未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

70%

平局

19%

客胜

10%

进球数

Over 1.5

84%

Under 1.5

16%

Over 2.5

62%

Under 2.5

38%

Over 3.5

39%

Under 3.5

61%

双重机会

主胜或平局

90%

客胜或平局

30%

非平局

81%

双方进球

52%

48%

关键因素
  • Pipeline Prediction: The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Arsenal with 70% probability
  • Home Dominance & Defensive Strength: Arsenal's strong home record includes an average of 1.94 home goals scored and only 0.53 home goals conceded per game
  • Head-to-Head Advantage: Arsenal has won 3 of the last 5 direct duels against Everton, who have not secured a single victory
风险因素
  • Short Recovery Time: Arsenal has only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Arsenal's Stalling Goal Production: According to advanced stats, Arsenal's recent goal production has slowed to 2.0 goals, compared to their season average of 2.3 goals
  • Everton's Improved Attack: Everton's recent form shows a higher scoring rate of 1.6 goals, surpassing their season average of 1.3 goals
概述

Arsenal (1st place, 67 points) host Everton (8th place, 43 points) at the Emirates Stadium

Premier League match on March 14, 2026, 6:30 PM

Arsenal leads the league, while Everton aims to consolidate its mid-table position

近期状态

Arsenal's form across all competitions is W W W W D

This includes 4 wins and 1 draw

Their last 5 results show a draw against Bayer 04 Leverkusen (1-1)

Followed by wins against Mansfield Town (2-1), Brighton & Hove Albion (1-0), Chelsea (2-1) and Tottenham Hotspur (4-1)

Everton's form across all competitions is W L L W W

This includes 3 wins and 2 losses

Their last 5 results include wins against Burnley (2-0) and Newcastle United (3-2)

Followed by losses against Manchester United (0-1) and AFC Bournemouth (1-2)

Their most recent match was a win against Fulham (2-1)

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Arsenal scores an average of 1.97 goals per game and concedes an average of 0.73 goals per game this season

They kept 14 clean sheets in 30 games

At home, Arsenal scores an average of 1.94 goals and concedes 0.53 goals

Everton scores an average of 1.17 goals per game and concedes an average of 1.14 goals per game this season

They kept 10 clean sheets in 29 games

Away from home, Everton scores an average of 1.14 goals and concedes 1.0 goals

The Emirates Stadium sees an average of 4.0 total goals per game

Both teams scored in 3 of 5 matches at this venue

Over 2.5 goals occurred in all 5 matches at this venue

According to advanced stats, Arsenal's goal production has slowed down at 2.0 goals, compared to a season average of 2.3 goals

Everton is currently scoring more frequently with 1.6 goals, up from their season average of 1.3 goals

历史交锋

In 5 head-to-head matches, Arsenal has 3 wins and Everton has 0 wins, with 2 draws

Arsenal scored 5 goals and Everton scored 2 goals in these encounters

The last match on December 20, 2025 ended with Everton losing 0-1 to Arsenal

Arsenal has been the more dominant team in recent head-to-head encounters

关键球员

For Arsenal, Declan Rice is a key midfielder with 4 goals and 5 assists this season

Bukayo Saka contributes with 6 goals and 4 assists, averaging a 7.21 rating

Eberechi Eze has scored 6 goals and provided 2 assists, holding an average rating of 7.01

Not nominated for Arsenal are Viktor Gyökeres (10T/0A), Gabriel Martinelli (1T/2A), Piero Hincapié (1T/1A)

From Everton, Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall scored 6 goals and made 3 assists

Iliman Ndiaye contributed 5 goals and 3 assists

James Garner is an important midfielder with 2 goals and 5 assists this season

Not nominated for Everton are Thierno Barry (6T/0A), James Tarkowski (1T/1A)

门将

Arsenal's goalkeeper David Raya has recorded 14 clean sheets in 30 appearances this season

Everton's goalkeeper Jordan Pickford has achieved 10 clean sheets in 29 appearances

影响因素

Arsenal benefits from a strong home advantage, scoring an average of 1.94 goals and conceding 0.53 goals at home

The Emirates Stadium typically sees high-scoring games, with an average of 4.0 total goals per match

Both teams scored in 60% of recent matches at this venue

All 5 recent matches at this venue had over 2.5 goals

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