Premier League
Manchester United - Aston Villa
03/15/2026, 02:00 PM
预期进球
1.8
3.0
1.1
1:1
12%2:1
10%2:0
9%1:2
6%3:1
6%xG 分解
Manchester United
Aston Villa
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
51%
平局
26%
客胜
23%
进球数
Over 1.5
81%
Under 1.5
19%
Over 2.5
57%
Under 2.5
43%
Over 3.5
34%
Under 3.5
66%
双重机会
主胜或平局
77%
客胜或平局
49%
非平局
74%
双方进球
是
58%
否
42%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with a 51% probability and 1.81 expected home goals
- Manchester United shows better form with 3 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 games
- Manchester United's home strength is significant with an average of 1.80 goals per home game
风险因素
- Aston Villa had only 3 days of rest since their last match
- Aston Villa averages only 3.2 shots on target per game
- Manchester United's goal production is currently stagnating (1.4 goals) compared to the season average (1.73)
概述
Manchester United (3rd place, 51 points) host Aston Villa (4th place, 51 points) at Old Trafford
Premier League match on March 15, 2026, 3:00 PM
This top match is crucial in the fight for Champions League spots and the upper league table
近期状态
Manchester United's form (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss) is WDWWL
The home team achieved 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches
The last result was a loss
Manchester United's goal production is currently stagnating at an average of 1.4 goals per game, compared to the season average of 1.73
Aston Villa's form is LDLLW
The visitors achieved 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last 5 matches
The last result was a win
Aston Villa's goal production is also stagnating at 0.8 goals, while the season average is 1.54
统计数据
Manchester United scores an average of 1.76 goals and concedes 1.38 goals per season
Aston Villa scores an average of 1.34 goals and concedes 1.17 goals per game
At home, Manchester United scores an average of 1.80 goals and concedes 1.07 goals per home game
Away, Aston Villa scores an average of 1.38 goals and concedes 1.46 goals per away game
An average of 3.0 goals are scored per game at Old Trafford
Both teams score in 60% of games at Old Trafford, and 60% end with over 2.5 goals
历史交锋
In 5 direct Premier League encounters, Manchester United secured 3 wins
Aston Villa won 1 time, and one match ended in a draw
The goal difference is 8:5 in favor of Manchester United
The last meeting on December 21, 2025, ended with a 2:1 victory for Aston Villa
Overall, Manchester United showed dominance in recent encounters
关键球员
For Manchester United, Bruno Fernandes (Midfielder) is an important player with 7 goals and 14 assists in 26 appearances
His current form shows 1 goal in 2 games with a rating of 8.11 (rising)
Bryan Mbeumo (Attacker) contributed with 9 goals and 3 assists in 24 appearances
His current form: 1 goal and 1 assist in 2 games with a rating of 7.11 (stable)
Matheus Cunha (Attacker) scored 6 goals and 2 assists in 26 appearances
His current form shows 0 goals and 0 assists in 2 games with a rating of 6.74 (declining)
For Aston Villa, John McGinn (Midfielder) is a key player with 3 goals and 2 assists in 22 appearances
His current form shows 2 goals in 4 games with a rating of 7.02 (rising)
Morgan Rogers (Midfielder) recorded 8 goals and 5 assists in 29 appearances
His current form shows 0 goals and 0 assists in 1 game with a rating of 6.49 (declining)
Ollie Watkins (Attacker) scored 8 goals and 1 assist in 28 appearances
His current form shows 0 goals and 0 assists in 1 game with a rating of 6.38 (declining)
Not nominated for Aston Villa: Matty Cash (3 goals, 2 assists)
门将
Manchester United's goalkeeper Senne Lammens played 23 season games and kept 5 clean sheets
Aston Villa's goalkeeper Emiliano Martínez played 25 season games and achieved 8 clean sheets
影响因素
Manchester United shows solid home strength with an average of 1.80 goals scored and 1.07 goals conceded per home game
An average of 3.0 goals are scored per game at Old Trafford
60% of matches end with both teams scoring, and 60% see over 2.5 goals