Liga MX
Pumas UNAM - Pachuca
07/18/2026, 11:00 PM
预期进球
1.4
2.5
1.1
1:1
14%2:1
9%2:0
8%1:2
7%2:2
5%xG 分解
Pumas UNAM
Pachuca
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
42%
平局
30%
客胜
28%
进球数
Over 1.5
74%
Under 1.5
26%
Over 2.5
47%
Under 2.5
53%
Over 3.5
25%
Under 3.5
75%
双重机会
主胜或平局
72%
客胜或平局
58%
非平局
70%
双方进球
是
53%
否
47%
关键因素
- Pumas UNAM recently averaged only 2.2 shots on target per match in their past games
- According to advanced stats, Pumas UNAM's goal scoring has stalled recently, averaging 1.3 compared to their season average of 1.7
- The mathematical model calculates a 42% probability of a home win for Pumas UNAM
风险因素
- Víctor Alfonso Guzmán Guzmán, Enner Valencia, Brian García are missing, leaving only 63% of the seasonal goal threat available
- Pachuca's goal production has stalled recently at 0.8 goals, significantly below their season average of 1.4
- Pachuca concede an average of 1.32 goals per away match
概述
Pumas UNAM host Pachuca at the Estadio Olímpico de Universitario
Liga MX match on July 18, 2026, 11:00 PM
Both teams start this new phase with zero points
Pumas currently sit in 7th place, while Pachuca are in 13th
The mathematical model predicts a 42% chance of a home win
近期状态
Pumas UNAM show a form of DLWDL in their recent matches
The home team recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses
Pachuca display a stronger form with LWWWL
The visitors secured 3 wins and 2 losses in their last five games
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Pumas UNAM scored an average of 1.63 goals and conceded 1.32 goals this season
In home matches, their scoring average stands at 1.67 goals per game
Pachuca average 1.32 goals scored and 1.32 goals conceded in away games
Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 home matches for Pumas UNAM
20 out of 41 season games for Pumas UNAM ended with over 2.5 goals
历史交锋
There have been 5 head-to-head matches between these teams
Pachuca won 3 times, while Pumas UNAM won 2 matches
The goal difference stands at 6 to 7 from Pumas' perspective
The last encounter ended in a 1-0 win for Pumas UNAM on May 18, 2026
关键球员
Robert Morales already scored 9 goals and provided 2 assists this season with a rating of 7.08
Juninho recorded 8 goals and 4 assists in 23 appearances with an average rating of 6.84
Pedro Vite has 3 goals and 1 assist in this campaign
Kenedy contributed 9 season goals and 2 assists on the other side with a rating of 6.96
Oussama Idrissi scored 6 goals and provided 3 assists this season
Elías Montiel recorded 2 goals and 5 assists so far and holds a rating of 7.03
门将
Keylor Navas in goal for Pumas UNAM has an average season rating of 7.04
He has already recorded 6 clean sheets at home this season
Carlos Agustín Moreno Luna starts for Pachuca with a rating of 6.91
He has registered 4 clean sheets in away matches this season
影响因素
Pumas UNAM benefit from a solid record at Estadio Olímpico de Universitario with an average of 1.67 home goals
The venue's historic goal average stands at 4.0 goals per match
The grass pitch offers familiar conditions for the home side