Liga MX
León - Atlas
07/18/2026, 01:00 AM
预期进球
1.4
2.4
0.9
1:1
14%1:0
12%0:0
11%2:0
10%2:1
9%xG 分解
León
Atlas
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
47%
平局
30%
客胜
23%
进球数
Over 1.5
70%
Under 1.5
30%
Over 2.5
42%
Under 2.5
58%
Over 3.5
22%
Under 3.5
78%
双重机会
主胜或平局
77%
客胜或平局
53%
非平局
70%
双方进球
是
48%
否
52%
关键因素
- Critical squad impact for Atlas: Only 57% of their goal threat is available with Diego González, Eduardo Aguirre, and Paulo Ramírez missing
- Offensive trend for León: The hosts averaged 1.8 goals in recent matches, higher than their season average of 1.1
- Home advantage in head-to-head: The last encounter in April ended in a decisive 2-0 home victory for León
风险因素
- Defensive vulnerability away: Atlas concedes an average of 2.46 goals per away match this season
- Low attacking threat: Atlas averaged only 2.4 shots on target per game in recent matches
概述
León host Atlas at the Estadio León
Liga MX match on July 18, 2026, 2:00 AM
Both teams start level on points, with León in 14th place and Atlas in 3rd place
According to the mathematical model, León enters as favorites with a 48% win probability
近期状态
León enters with a form of WWWLL in their last five matches
The hosts recently suffered two consecutive defeats
Atlas shows a form of WDWLL over their last five games
The visitors also experienced two consecutive defeats recently
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
León scored an average of 1.06 goals and conceded 1.85 goals per game this season
In home games, the hosts' goal record is balanced with an average of 1.04 scored and 1.04 conceded goals
Atlas scored an average of 1.17 goals and conceded 1.58 goals per game this season
The visitors show defensive struggles away from home, conceding an average of 2.46 goals per away match
历史交锋
There have been 4 head-to-head matches between the teams
León recorded 2 wins, while Atlas got 1 win and one draw
The goal difference is 4:3 in favor of León
The last encounter on April 5, 2026, ended in a 2-0 home victory for León
关键球员
Ismael Díaz is León's most dangerous attacker with 10 goals, 6 assists, and a rating of 7.03
Díber Cambindo impressed recently with 3 goals in his last 5 matches
Daniel Arcila contributed 4 goals this season
For Atlas, Arturo González stands out with 7 goals this season
Aldo Rocha scored 1 goal and provided 2 assists this term
Manuel Capasso stabilizes the defense and has also scored 2 goals
门将
Óscar García kept goal 28 times for León this season, recording 6 clean sheets overall
Antonio Sánchez has made 2 appearances for Atlas this season
The visitors achieved 10 clean sheets overall this season
影响因素
Estadio León features a natural grass surface
The historical goal average at this venue is 3.4 goals per game
Over 2.5 goals were scored in 80% of matches played here
Both teams scored in 60% of those matches