Liga MX
Guadalajara - Toluca
07/19/2026, 01:07 AM
预期进球
1.5
2.3
0.8
1:1
14%1:0
13%0:0
12%2:0
11%2:1
9%xG 分解
Guadalajara
Toluca
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
50%
平局
30%
客胜
20%
进球数
Over 1.5
69%
Under 1.5
31%
Over 2.5
41%
Under 2.5
59%
Over 3.5
20%
Under 3.5
80%
双重机会
主胜或平局
80%
客胜或平局
50%
非平局
70%
双方进球
是
45%
否
55%
关键因素
- Home advantage on artificial turf: Guadalajara is unbeaten on this surface with a record of 7W-3D-0L
- Defensive strength at Estadio AKRON: The hosts concede an average of just 0.79 goals per home match
- Control of play: Both teams have recently been highly dominant, averaging over 58% possession
风险因素
- Historical struggle: Guadalajara has failed to win any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Toluca
- Roster absences for the hosts: Key players Efraín Álvarez, Santiago Sandoval, and Ricardo Marín are not in the starting lineup
- Toluca's away attack: The visitors score an impressive average of 1.88 goals per away match
概述
Guadalajara hosts Toluca at the Estadio AKRON
Liga MX match on July 19, 2026, 2:07 AM
Both teams enter the matchday with 0 points
The mathematical model estimates a 50% chance of a home victory
近期状态
Guadalajara shows a form of DLWDL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
They recently suffered a 1-2 defeat against Cruz Azul
Toluca travels with a form of LLWLL
The visitors lost their last match 0-2 against Pachuca
统计数据
Guadalajara scored an average of 1.75 goals per game this season
Their home defense is strong, conceding only 0.79 goals per match
Toluca averaged 1.86 goals scored per game
The visitors conceded an average of 1.31 goals in their away matches
历史交锋
Guadalajara has failed to win any of the last 4 head-to-head matches
Toluca dominates the historical record with 3 wins and 1 draw
The total goal difference is 1-7 in favor of Toluca
The last meeting ended in a 2-0 win for Toluca on February 28, 2026
关键球员
Roberto Alvarado stands out with an average rating of 7.26 and 3 recent assists
Omar Nicolás Govea García recorded 1 goal and 1 assist recently
Alexis Vega leads the visitors with a rating of 7.52 and 12 assists this season
门将
Raúl Rangel kept 14 clean sheets this season
Luis García recorded 13 clean sheets for Toluca
影响因素
The match is played on artificial turf
Guadalajara is strong on artificial turf with a record of 7W-3D-0L
The historical average at Estadio AKRON stands at 1.6 goals per game