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Liga MX

Tijuana - Tigres UANL

07/17/2026, 03:10 AM

3 : 1
预期进球
Tijuana
1.0
Total xG
2.5
Tigres UANL
1.5
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:2

9%

0:2

9%

2:1

6%

1:3

5%
xG 分解
TIJTU

Tijuana

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.76倍)
-0.93
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.07
Kevin Castañeda未进大名单 (13球, 7助攻)
Mourad El Ghezouani未进大名单 (5球, 1助攻)
41%进球产出缺失 (仅65%可用)

Tigres UANL

最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.8球)
-0.07
防守实力 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
-0.02
Ángel Correa未进大名单 (16球, 12助攻)
Jesús Angulo未进大名单 (2球, 0助攻)
13%进球产出缺失 (仅92%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.9球)
+0.40
+0.40
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

23%

平局

29%

客胜

48%

进球数

Over 1.5

73%

Under 1.5

27%

Over 2.5

46%

Under 2.5

54%

Over 3.5

25%

Under 3.5

75%

双重机会

主胜或平局

52%

客胜或平局

77%

非平局

71%

双方进球

是

51%

否

49%

关键因素
  • Artificial turf advantage: Tijuana lost only 1 of 10 home matches on turf, while Tigres remain winless (0W-1D-3L)
  • Tactical superiority: Tigres averaged 6.6 shots on target and 56.4% possession in recent matches
  • Brunetta's hot streak: The midfielder scored 3 goals in his last 5 games
风险因素
  • Weakened Tijuana attack: With Kevin Castañeda (13 goals) missing, only 66% of the team's goal share is active
  • Fragile away defense: Tigres concede an average of 1.87 goals per away match
  • Squad absences: Tigres are without injured options J. Angulo Uriarte, M. Farfan, and M. Flores
概述

Tijuana host Tigres UANL at Estadio Caliente

Liga MX match on July 17, 2026, 3:10 AM

Tijuana start in 17th place while Tigres occupy 3rd place

Both sides look to start their campaign on a high note

近期状态

Tijuana are unbeaten in 5 matches with 3 wins and 2 draws (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Tigres UANL recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss recently

Tijuana show a stable form trend heading into this fixture

统计数据

Tigres average 1.80 goals scored per away game

Tijuana concede only 0.57 goals per home game on average

Both teams scored in 80% of matches played at Estadio Caliente

历史交锋

Tigres lead with 3 wins to Tijuana's 2 in the last 5 meetings

The goal difference stands at 11:4 in favor of Tigres UANL

Tijuana won the last match 1-0 on April 4, 2026

关键球员

Ramiro Árciga has 3 goals and 8 assists this season

Gilberto Mora has scored 6 goals for Tijuana so far

Juan Brunetta stands out with 19 goals and 9 assists for the visitors

门将

Antonio Rodríguez recorded 13 clean sheets in 37 appearances

Nahuel Guzmán secured 14 clean sheets this season

Both keepers display impressive defensive statistics

影响因素

The match is played on artificial turf at Estadio Caliente

Tigres lost 3 out of 4 games on artificial turf without scoring

Tijuana achieved 3 wins, 6 draws, and only 1 loss on this surface

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