Liga MX
Juárez - Puebla
07/18/2026, 03:00 AM
预期进球
1.5
2.3
0.8
1:1
14%1:0
13%0:0
11%2:0
11%2:1
9%xG 分解
Juárez
Puebla
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
51%
平局
29%
客胜
19%
进球数
Over 1.5
69%
Under 1.5
31%
Over 2.5
41%
Under 2.5
59%
Over 3.5
21%
Under 3.5
79%
双重机会
主胜或平局
81%
客胜或平局
49%
非平局
71%
双方进球
是
46%
否
54%
关键因素
- Offense matchup: Juárez score consistently averaging 1.5 goals, while Puebla concede a high average of 2.57 goals per away match
- Mathematical advantage: The model calculates a 51% home win probability for Juárez
- Tactical edge: Juárez averaged 3.6 shots on target in recent matches compared to Puebla's low average of 2.6
风险因素
- Loss of creativity: Juárez must compensate for 45% of seasonal assists missing, as key playmakers like José Luis Rodríguez (9 assists) are not in the lineup
- Defensive vulnerability: Juárez conceded an average of 1.74 goals per match this season, which increased to 2.2 in recent matches
概述
Juárez host Puebla at the Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez
Liga MX match on July 18, 2026, 3:00 AM
Both teams start the new phase after the break
Juárez enter the match as favorites according to the model
近期状态
Juárez show a form of DLLLW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
The hosts recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses recently
Puebla arrive with a form of DLLLL
The visitors recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses in their last matches
Puebla lost their last 4 games in a row
统计数据
Juárez score an average of 1.5 goals per game this season and concede 1.74 goals
In home games, the hosts average 1.5 goals scored and 1.36 goals conceded
Puebla average 1.0 goal scored and 2.0 goals conceded per match this season
Away from home, the visitors show a vulnerable defense conceding 2.57 goals on average
The last 5 games at the stadium featured an average of 3.4 goals per match
历史交锋
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Juárez won 2 times and there were 2 draws
Puebla failed to win any of these encounters
The goal difference stands at 10:7 in favor of Juárez
The last meeting on April 4, 2026, ended in a 1:1 draw
关键球员
Óscar Estupiñán shines with 15 goals and 3 assists with a 6.89 rating
Guilherme Castilho contributed 7 goals and 2 assists this season
Madson has recorded 4 goals and 1 assist in the ongoing campaign
Emiliano Gómez convinces with 8 goals and 5 assists this season
Kevin Velasco has registered 3 assists and holds a 7.08 rating
Juan Pablo Vargas provides stability with 1 goal and a 6.86 rating
门将
Sebastián Jurado is in goal for Juárez and holds an average rating of 6.67
He kept 3 clean sheets this season
Daniel Gutiérrez guards the goal for Puebla with a 6.91 rating
He has already recorded 6 clean sheets this season
影响因素
The match takes place on natural grass at the Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez
The goal average at this stadium is a high 3.4 goals per match
Both teams scored in all of the last 5 matches played at this venue