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Liga MX

Querétaro - América

07/19/2026, 03:10 AM

0 : 1
预期进球
Querétaro
1.0
Total xG
2.2
América
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

13%

0:1

12%

1:0

9%

0:2

9%
xG 分解
QUEAMÉ

Querétaro

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.79倍)
-0.63
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
+0.13
状态上升 (1.6 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
+0.13
防守实力 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
+0.11
排名劣势 (第12位 vs 第4位, 相差8位)
-0.08

América

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.75倍)
-1.10
防守实力 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均2球)
-0.78
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.2球)
+0.15
状态上升 (2.2 vs 1.7 赛季平均)
+0.15
排名优势 (第4位 vs 第12位, 相差8位)
+0.05
Brian Rodríguez未进大名单 (13球, 7助攻)
Álex Zendejas未进大名单 (12球, 7助攻)
Jonathan dos Santos未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)
Israel Reyes未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)
57%进球产出缺失 (仅43%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.2球 vs 总体1.7球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.5球)
+1.00
+1.00
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

27%

平局

32%

客胜

41%

进球数

Over 1.5

66%

Under 1.5

34%

Over 2.5

37%

Under 2.5

63%

Over 3.5

18%

Under 3.5

82%

双重机会

主胜或平局

59%

客胜或平局

73%

非平局

68%

双方进球

45%

55%

关键因素
  • Squad crisis for América: Only 43% of the regular starting lineup strength is available, with key performance leaders like Brian Rodríguez and Álex Zendejas missing
  • Offensive form rise: Both teams score more frequently now compared to their season average, Querétaro at 1.6 vs 1.2 and América at 2.2 vs 1.7
  • Tactical contrast: América averaged 5.2 shots on target recently with offensive focus, while Querétaro played counter-oriented with 40% average possession
风险因素
  • Defensive instability of the visitors: América conceded an average of 2.0 goals per match in recent games
  • Historical winless streak: Querétaro failed to win any of the last 4 direct encounters against América
  • Massive quality reduction for the favorites: The absence of key players drastically weakens América's technical level
概述

Querétaro hosts América at Estadio La Corregidora

Liga MX match on July 19, 2026, 5:10 AM

Both teams start the new season with zero points

The mathematical model projects an away win probability of 41%

近期状态

Querétaro is unbeaten in their last 5 matches with form DWDDW

The home side recorded 2 wins and 3 draws recently

América travels with a form of WWLDD

The visitors recently registered 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss

统计数据

Querétaro scored an average of 1.06 goals and conceded 1.47 goals this season

Their home record shows 1.05 goals scored and only 0.91 conceded per game

América scored an average of 1.61 goals and conceded 1.16 goals per match

The visitors conceded an average of 1.41 goals in away matches

历史交锋

América dominates the head-to-head history with 4 wins from 4 matches

The goal difference stands at 2:7 in favor of the visitors

The last encounter on March 7, 2026, ended in a 1-2 away win for América

关键球员

Alí Ávila has already scored 11 goals this season

Santiago Homenchenko contributed 6 goals this season from defense

Henry Martin has 1 goal and 1 assist for América with a rising form trend

门将

Guillermo Allison is in goal for Querétaro with a season average rating of 6.95

Rodolfo Cota guards the net for América with a season average rating of 6.77

影响因素

The match will be played on natural grass at Estadio La Corregidora

Matches at this stadium averaged 2.4 goals with an 80% BTTS rate

Querétaro benefited from a stable defense in their home games this season

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