Liga MX
Monterrey - Santos Laguna
07/19/2026, 01:05 AM
预期进球
2.1
3.0
0.9
1:1
11%2:0
10%2:1
10%3:0
7%3:1
7%xG 分解
Monterrey
Santos Laguna
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
62%
平局
23%
客胜
15%
进球数
Over 1.5
82%
Under 1.5
18%
Over 2.5
59%
Under 2.5
41%
Over 3.5
36%
Under 3.5
64%
双重机会
主胜或平局
85%
客胜或平局
38%
非平局
77%
双方进球
是
55%
否
45%
关键因素
- Defensive matchup: Monterrey concede avg. 1.10 goals at home, whereas Santos Laguna concede avg. 3.14 on the road
- Tactical output: Monterrey averaged 5.2 shots on target in recent matches compared to only 2.4 for the visitors
- Squad impact: Santos Laguna are without Aldo López, Fran Villalba, and Bruno Amione, reducing starting XI strength to 87%
风险因素
- Declining trend: Monterrey's recent goal scoring average dropped to 1.0 goals compared to their 1.7 season average
- H2H warning: Monterrey lost the most recent encounter on April 26, 2026, by a clear 0-3 margin
- Suspended defenders: Both teams must replace key defensive players due to yellow card suspensions
概述
Monterrey (11th place, 0 points) host Santos Laguna (6th place, 0 points) at the Estadio BBVA Bancomer
Liga MX match on July 19, 2026, 3:05 AM
The mathematical model predicts a clear favorite role for the home team with a 63% win probability
近期状态
Monterrey form: LDLWL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Monterrey's goal production is currently slowing down to 1.0 goals per game compared to their season average of 1.7
Santos Laguna form: DLLLW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
The visitors remain consistent in front of goal, averaging 1.2 goals per game recently
统计数据
Monterrey score an average of 1.62 goals at home and concede 1.10
Santos Laguna concede an average of 3.14 goals per away game
The away side failed to keep a single clean sheet on the road this season
历史交锋
4 head-to-head matches recorded
Monterrey lead with 3 wins compared to 1 win for Santos Laguna
The last direct encounter ended in a clear 3-0 victory for Santos Laguna
关键球员
Lucas Ocampos is a key attacker for Monterrey with 7 goals and 6 assists
Óliver Torres has contributed 2 goals and 8 assists in midfield for the home side
Lucas Di Yorio leads the Santos Laguna attack with 6 goals this season
门将
Luis Cárdenas is in goal for Monterrey, averaging a 6.99 rating this season
Carlos Acevedo plays in goal for Santos Laguna, holding a season rating of 6.93
Monterrey recorded 10 clean sheets this season, while Santos Laguna achieved 6
影响因素
The match will be played on natural grass at the Estadio BBVA Bancomer
The stadium averages 3.2 goals per match with a 60% rate of over 2.5 goals
Strong home performance meets an extremely vulnerable away defense