Premier League
Sunderland - Brighton & Hove Albion
03/14/2026, 03:00 PM
预期进球
1.1
2.3
1.2
1:1
15%0:0
12%0:1
10%1:0
10%1:2
8%xG 分解
Sunderland
Brighton & Hove Albion
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
32%
平局
32%
客胜
35%
进球数
Over 1.5
68%
Under 1.5
32%
Over 2.5
39%
Under 2.5
61%
Over 3.5
19%
Under 3.5
81%
双重机会
主胜或平局
65%
客胜或平局
68%
非平局
68%
双方进球
是
48%
否
52%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis predicts a high probability of a close match with a slight advantage for Brighton (35% win probability)
- According to the pipeline model, the expected goals are very close: Sunderland at 1.10 and Brighton at 1.16
- The goal production of both teams is currently stalling, showing a negative form trend
风险因素
- Brighton & Hove Albion concedes an average of 1.67 goals per away game
- Sunderland's goal production is currently low (0.8), while the season average is 1.1
概述
Sunderland (11th place, 40 points) host Brighton & Hove Albion (14th place, 37 points) at the Stadium of Light
Premier League match on March 14, 2026, 4:00 PM
Both teams are in the mid-table and are fighting for a better position
近期状态
Sunderland's form across all competitions: WLDWL
This means 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 games
They recently suffered a loss
Brighton's form across all competitions: LLWWL
This indicates 2 wins and 3 losses in the last 5 games
Brighton also recently experienced a loss
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Sunderland scores an average of 1.03 goals per game and concedes 1.17 goals
At home, the average is 1.05 goals scored and 0.62 goals conceded per home game
Sunderland kept 9 clean sheets
Brighton scores an average of 1.31 goals per game and concedes 1.24 goals
Away from home, Brighton scores 1.33 goals and concedes 1.67 goals per away game
Brighton achieved 6 clean sheets
At the Stadium of Light, an average of 2.2 total goals were scored per game, and both teams scored in 2 out of 5 matches
More than 2.5 goals were scored in 3 out of 5 matches
历史交锋
In 2 head-to-head matches, there has been 1 draw and 1 win for Sunderland
Brighton has not won a direct encounter yet
The last meeting on December 20, 2025, ended in a 0-0 draw
Sunderland has been dominant in recent encounters
关键球员
For Sunderland, Brian Brobbey (5 goals, 1 assist, Avg. 6.71 rating), Granit Xhaka (1 goal, 5 assists, Avg. 7.15 rating), and Chemsdine Talbi (3 goals, 1 assist, Avg. 6.63 rating) are important players
Not nominated: Enzo Le Fée (4T/4A), Nordi Mukiele (1T/4A)
For Brighton, Danny Welbeck (10 goals, 0 assists, Avg. 6.75 rating), Diego Gómez (5 goals, 0 assists, Avg. 6.80 rating), and Jan Paul van Hecke (3 goals, 2 assists, Avg. 7.07 rating) are among the key performers
Not nominated: Kaoru Mitoma (2T/1A)
门将
Melker Ellborg is in goal for Sunderland
Sunderland has kept 9 clean sheets this season
Bart Verbruggen is the goalkeeper for Brighton
Brighton has achieved 6 clean sheets this season
影响因素
Sunderland benefits from their home advantage, with an average of 1.05 goals scored and only 0.62 goals conceded per home game
The Stadium of Light is known for an average of 2.2 goals per game
In 60% of the last 5 matches at the stadium, more than 2.5 goals were scored