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Liga MX

Santos Laguna - Atlas

07/26/2026, 03:00 AM

0 : 1
预期进球
Santos Laguna
1.5
Total xG
2.3
Atlas
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:0

12%

0:0

11%

2:0

10%

2:1

9%
xG 分解
SLATL

Santos Laguna

防守实力 (场均失2球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
+0.68
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.4球)
+0.04
Aldo López替补席 (4球, 1助攻)
Bruno Amione未进大名单 (3球, 1助攻)
13%进球产出缺失 (仅90%可用)

Atlas

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.54倍)
-0.83
防守不足 (场均失1.8球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
+0.29
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.05
Diego González未进大名单 (6球, 7助攻)
Eduardo Aguirre未进大名单 (2球, 2助攻)
Paulo Ramírez替补席 (2球, 0助攻)
25%进球产出缺失 (仅68%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.8球 vs 总体1.4球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

49%

平局

30%

客胜

21%

进球数

Over 1.5

70%

Under 1.5

30%

Over 2.5

42%

Under 2.5

58%

Over 3.5

21%

Under 3.5

79%

双重机会

主胜或平局

79%

客胜或平局

51%

非平局

70%

双方进球

47%

53%

关键因素
  • Santos Laguna has a 49% home win probability in the model benefiting from Atlas's away defensive struggles
  • Santos Laguna is currently scoring more frequently with 1.4 goals compared to their season average of 1.3
  • Atlas averaged 3.4 shots on target in recent matches compared to Santos Laguna's 2.2
风险因素
  • Atlas is weakened as only 69% of their typical starting lineup strength is active with key players like Diego González missing
  • Atlas concedes an average of 2.46 goals per away game this season
  • Santos Laguna averaged only 2.2 shots on target in recent matches
概述

Santos Laguna host Atlas at the Estadio Nuevo Corona

Liga MX match on July 26, 2026, 5:00 AM

Santos Laguna sit in 14th place with 0 points while Atlas occupy 7th place with 3 points

The mathematical model predicts a home win probability of 49%

近期状态

Santos Laguna's form is LLLWL and they lost 2-3 against Monterrey in their last match

Atlas's form is DWLLW after winning 3-2 against León in their last game

The home team has only recorded 1 win in their last 5 matches

统计数据

Santos Laguna score an average of 1.24 goals and concede 1.94 goals per match

In home games Santos Laguna concede 1.1 goals on average while scoring 1.25 goals

Atlas concede an average of 2.46 goals in away games while scoring 1.15 goals

历史交锋

In 4 head-to-head matches Santos Laguna won 1, Atlas won 2, and 1 ended in a draw

The last match on April 19, 2026, ended in a 0-1 away victory for Atlas

Atlas is the historically dominant side in recent meetings

关键球员

Lucas Di Yorio scored 6 goals and provided 3 assists with a 6.9 rating this season

Ezequiel Bullaude contributed 5 goals and 4 assists with a 7.02 rating

Fran Villalba has 3 goals and 2 assists with a rising form trend

For Atlas Arturo González scored 7 goals without an assist with a 6.88 rating

Aldo Rocha recorded 1 goal and 2 assists with a 6.69 rating

Manuel Capasso contributes with 2 goals and a 7.19 rating

门将

Carlos Acevedo plays for Santos Laguna with 6 clean sheets and a 6.93 average rating

Camilo Vargas starts for Atlas with 10 clean sheets and a 6.87 rating

影响因素

The game is played on natural grass at the Estadio Nuevo Corona

Stadium statistics show an average of 2.4 goals per match with a BTTS rate of 60%

Atlas has a notable away weakness conceding 2.46 goals per match on the road

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