Liga MX
Necaxa - Monterrey
07/26/2026, 11:00 PM
预期进球
1.5
2.4
0.9
1:1
14%1:0
12%0:0
10%2:0
10%2:1
9%xG 分解
Necaxa
Monterrey
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
49%
平局
29%
客胜
22%
进球数
Over 1.5
71%
Under 1.5
29%
Over 2.5
44%
Under 2.5
56%
Over 3.5
23%
Under 3.5
77%
双重机会
主胜或平局
78%
客胜或平局
51%
非平局
71%
双方进球
是
49%
否
51%
关键因素
- H2H dominance: Monterrey won all last 4 meetings against Necaxa without conceding a single goal
- Offensive volume: Monterrey averaged 6.4 shots on target in recent matches, compared to only 2.2 for Necaxa
- Missing key players: Necaxa is without Tomás Badaloni, Alexis Peña, and Cristian Calderón, leaving only 79% of active goals available
风险因素
- Away defense vulnerability: Monterrey concedes an average of 2.06 goals per away game
- Low scoring threat: Necaxa averaged only 2.2 shots on target per match in recent games
- Goalkeeping absence: Monterrey's starting goalkeeper E. Andrada is suspended due to a red card
概述
Necaxa hosts Monterrey at the Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes
Liga MX match on July 26, 2026, at 11:00 PM
Both teams started their season with a victory
Monterrey sits in 7th place, with Necaxa right behind in 8th place
The mathematical model predicts a home win probability of 49%
近期状态
Necaxa shows form LDDLW with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses
Monterrey arrives with form DLWLW, consisting of 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses
Both teams recorded a victory in their most recent match
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Necaxa averages 1.26 goals scored and 1.68 goals conceded this season
At home, Necaxa is defensively more stable, conceding an average of 1.00 goals per match
Monterrey averages 1.61 goals scored and 1.53 goals conceded per game
Away from home, Monterrey's defense is more vulnerable, conceding an average of 2.06 goals
历史交锋
Monterrey historically dominated the last 4 head-to-head matches with 4 wins
The goal difference stands at 7-0 in favor of the visitors
The last meeting on January 14, 2026, ended in a 2-0 victory for Monterrey
Necaxa failed to score a single goal in any of these encounters
关键球员
Javier Ruiz scored 5 goals with a 7.09 rating this season
Julián Carranza recorded 3 goals in 6 season appearances
Ricardo Monreal contributed 4 season goals and 2 assists
Lucas Ocampos impresses with 7 goals and 6 assists this season
Óliver Torres stands out with 8 assists and an average rating of 7.14
Jesús Corona recorded 4 goals and 4 assists this season
门将
Necaxa goalkeeper Luis Jiménez has 0 appearances this season
Luis Cárdenas guards Monterrey's goal with 21 season appearances and a 6.99 rating
影响因素
The match will be played on natural grass at the Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes
Historical venue stats show an average of 2.2 goals per game
Both teams scored in 3 of the last 5 matches played at this stadium