Liga MX
Toluca - Pumas UNAM
07/22/2026, 03:05 AM
预期进球
1.8
2.6
0.8
2:0
12%1:1
12%2:1
10%3:0
8%3:1
6%xG 分解
Toluca
Pumas UNAM
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
61%
平局
25%
客胜
14%
进球数
Over 1.5
75%
Under 1.5
25%
Over 2.5
48%
Under 2.5
52%
Over 3.5
27%
Under 3.5
73%
双重机会
主胜或平局
86%
客胜或平局
39%
非平局
75%
双方进球
是
47%
否
53%
关键因素
- Strong home record: Toluca concede an average of just 0.85 goals per game at home
- Tactical dominance: Toluca averaged 6.2 shots on target in recent matches, compared to Pumas UNAM's low average of 1.4
- Offensive slump for the visitors: Pumas UNAM's recent goal production has slowed to 0.5 compared to their season average of 1.7
风险因素
- Short recovery time: Toluca had only 3 days of rest since their last match
- Harmless away attack: Pumas UNAM averaged just 1.4 shots on target in recent matches
- Key absences: Jordán Carrillo and Adalberto Carrasquilla are unavailable for Pumas UNAM
概述
Toluca host Pumas UNAM at the Estadio Nemesio Díez
Liga MX match on July 22, 2026, 5:05 AM
Toluca currently sit in 3rd place with 3 points
The visitors from Pumas UNAM are in 18th place with 0 points
A clash between a strong starter and a team under early pressure
近期状态
Toluca hold a form of LWLLW with a win in their last match
The home side recorded 2 wins and 3 losses recently
Pumas UNAM travel with a form of LWDLL and a loss in their last match
The visitors registered 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their recent run
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Toluca average 1.86 goals scored and 1.02 goals conceded per game this season
At home, the team is stronger defensively with 1.85 scored and 0.85 conceded
Pumas UNAM average 1.63 goals scored and 1.32 goals conceded overall
In away matches, the visitors concede an average of 1.50 goals
历史交锋
In 4 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 1 and 3 ended in a draw
Pumas UNAM did not win any of these direct encounters
The last duel ended in a 3-2 victory for Toluca on March 4, 2026
A total of 6 goals were scored by Toluca and 5 by Pumas UNAM in these matches
关键球员
Alexis Vega shines for Toluca with 4 goals and 12 assists, averaging a 7.52 rating
Jesús Angulo contributed 7 goals and 5 assists in midfield for the hosts
Pedro Vite acts in midfield for the visitors with 3 goals and a season rating of 6.92
门将
Hugo González is in goal for Toluca with an average rating of 6.81
Keylor Navas guards the net for Pumas UNAM with a season average rating of 7.04
Toluca have kept 13 clean sheets this season compared to 12 for Pumas UNAM
影响因素
Toluca's home advantage is backed by conceding just 0.85 goals per game at Estadio Nemesio Díez
Matches on this grass pitch average 3.2 total goals
A high rate of 80% of matches at this venue recently saw both teams score