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Liga MX

Guadalajara - Juárez

07/25/2026, 11:07 PM

1 : 0
预期进球
Guadalajara
1.7
Total xG
2.5
Juárez
0.7
最可能的比分

1:0

13%

2:0

13%

1:1

12%

0:0

10%

2:1

9%
xG 分解
GUAJUÁ

Guadalajara

最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.21
状态下滑 (1.2 vs 1.9 赛季平均)
-0.21
防守实力 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
+0.07
Efraín Álvarez替补席 (3球, 8助攻)
Santiago Sandoval未进大名单 (6球, 1助攻)
Ángel Sepúlveda未进大名单 (4球, 1助攻)
Ricardo Marín替补席 (3球, 2助攻)
Omar Nicolás Govea García替补席 (2球, 1助攻)
Diego Campillo替补席 (1球, 2助攻)

Juárez

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.49倍)
-1.20
防守不足 (场均失1.8球 vs 联赛平均1.6球)
+0.14
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.09
Jairo Torres替补席 (4球, 2助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1球 vs 总体1.5球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.9球)
+0.43
+0.43
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

60%

平局

26%

客胜

14%

进球数

Over 1.5

72%

Under 1.5

28%

Over 2.5

45%

Under 2.5

55%

Over 3.5

24%

Under 3.5

76%

双重机会

主胜或平局

86%

客胜或平局

40%

非平局

74%

双方进球

44%

56%

关键因素
  • Artificial turf advantage: Guadalajara holds an excellent record of 7 wins and only 1 loss on this surface
  • Tactical advantage: Guadalajara averaged 4.4 shots on target in recent matches, compared to Juárez's 2.8
  • Defensive mismatch: Guadalajara concedes only 0.79 goals per home match, while Juárez concedes an average of 2.25 goals away
风险因素
  • Negative scoring trend: Both teams show a declining form trend, averaging only 1.2 goals per game recently
  • Squad absence: The suspension of Á. Sepúlveda Sánchez (4 goals this season) limits Guadalajara's attacking depth
概述

Guadalajara host Juárez at Estadio AKRON

Liga MX match on July 25, 2026, 11:07 PM

Both teams started the season with a defeat

Guadalajara enter the match as favorites with a 60% win probability

近期状态

Guadalajara show a form of LWDLL

The hosts suffered two consecutive defeats recently

Juárez travel with a form of LLLWL

Both teams have managed only one win in their last five matches

Form code: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Guadalajara scored an average of 1.75 goals and conceded 1.23 goals per match this season

At home, the host defense is very solid, conceding only 0.79 goals per game

Juárez concede an average of 2.25 goals in away matches

The visitors score an average of 1.50 goals on the road

历史交锋

In 4 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 2 times while Juárez won once

The goal difference is 8 to 3 in favor of the hosts

The last meeting on January 14, 2026, ended in a 1-0 away win for Guadalajara

关键球员

Armando González is the top scorer for the hosts with 24 goals in 35 appearances

Roberto Alvarado contributed 4 goals and 5 assists in 31 games

For Juárez, Óscar Estupiñán is the main threat with 15 goals in 32 matches

Not selected: Efraín Álvarez (3G/8A), Santiago Sandoval (6G/1A), Ángel Sepúlveda (4G/1A), Ricardo Marín (3G/2A), Omar Nicolás Govea García (2G/1A), Diego Campillo (1G/2A)

Not selected for visitors: Jairo Torres (4G/2A)

门将

Raúl Rangel kept 14 clean sheets in 34 appearances this season

Sebastián Jurado in the Juárez goal recorded 3 clean sheets in 38 games

影响因素

The match will be played on artificial turf

Guadalajara have an excellent home record of 7 wins and only 1 loss on this surface

Juárez have 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss on artificial turf so far

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